3. Severe weather possible Friday.
This evening…
An upper low is spinning over the Lower Mississippi Valley and still has its hands in our weather. Daytime heating has cooked up CAPE (storm fuel) which has sparked storms. CAMs (those fancy short-term models we love) showed most of the action east of I-65 toward the Plateau. But this evening’s radar shows storms a little more widespread.
Severe weather not forecast for us this week (western Ken. has a Thursday slight risk extending north through Ill., Ind., and Wisco.).
Rain, lightning, heat as minor hazards ahead.
2. More rain Monday, but probably not all day. HRRR has morning rain then some scattered evening showers.
Downpours may pass through anytime Sunday, but most of us should stay dry or just a little bit rained on for Mother’s Day. Keep plans.
2. Rainout Alert for Monday and Tuesday. HRRR only runs out to 8 AM Monday but we see heavy rain working north for Monday afternoon.
A system passing to our south continues to wobble, tossing us forecast uncertainty. Latest HRRR is wobbling north and bringing us nuisance rain chances:
Three Things.
FOENUS: We may hit 90° later next week.
Steep lapse rates aloft punched up large hail today. Hail was technically severe (1″ in diameter) for many, especially in north Franklin to Cool Springs to Brentwood. Wind driven hail made impacts worse. You may have a hail damaged roof.
Low to medium rain chances will be with us from Wednesday thru at least Monday.
Good news is that it likely won’t rain every day and rainfall totals look fairly light.
NWS Blend of Models thinks we only see about 0.5 – 1″ of rain thru Monday evening – good news for ballfields.
Tuesday will be our only certain dry day of this week – although I feel fairly confident most of us will get at least one more dry day out of this week, just hard to say which one!
GFS and Euro models are not in good agreement about how this week plays out – except for both agreeing that we’ll have no severe worries.
While there are no shortages of rain chances this week, overall, it doesn’t look like a lot of rain – so there’s good news.
On/off (mostly off) light showers will continue to move thru for the remainder of today (Sunday). NBD, just a nuisance.
Unfortunately we just cannot shake these rain chances.
Rain will be on/off (mostly on) thru early this afternoon before transitioning to being more scattered in nature for the remainder of today. Thankfully we won’t have any severe weather to deal with, but you could hear the occasional rumble of thunder. No good news for rolly ball games.
You must be logged in to post a comment.