Yesterday’s forecast had wins (HRRR timing on Will Co storms, damaging straight line wind threat) and losses (SPC did not mention hail yet Will Co saw 1″ hail then that storm blew into Marshall Co and dropped 4″ hail on Chapel Hill).
Category: Forecast Blogs (Legacy)
Maybe Severe Storms, Maybe You Need A Fanorak
Heat & Humidity, Rain & Storm Chance Tuesday
Begone, These Two Streaks: 70° Dews & Dry Grass Views, So You Know You’re All Right
Storms and showers east and south today, I think we stay dry. Humidity also dropping, ending the streak of sweat, in hopelessness and rage, 70° dewpoints delivering oppressive humidity. Dewps today “only” sticky/uncomfortable, mid to upper 60°s, yay? It’s not football weather but at least it snapped a 120 hour 70°+ dewpoint streakdepicted in blue below, a message straight to your soul:
“Cooled” Off But Not Really
Hoping The Wattery Bails Us Out One Last Time

Most of us have struck luck with the Wattery the past two days, bailing us out from the heat index getting to excessive territory. We just need one more day of that.
If not, temps will surge up into the upper 90’s, dewpoints in the mid 70’s = heat index pushing 110°, reason for the Excessive Heat Warning for today.
Excessive Heat Warning And Severe Storms - A Double Edged Sword + Drought Update
Excessive Heat Warning Thru Friday, Hopes of Getting Cooled Off By (Severe?) Storms

Since 1986, NWS Nashville has only ever issued an Excessive Heat Warning four times. Once in 2010, twice in 2011, and now again today. The only previous one that included Davidson and Williamson counties was in 2010, also on a Wednesday. Point being, this degree of heat and humidity is quite rare, and is dangerous.
Dangerous Heat + Dewpoint Combo Thru Friday, The Wattery Has Few Winning Tickets
Probably Rain-Free But Hazy Fireworks Tonight, Heat Advisory Likely All Week

Besides probably sweating a lot, the 4th looks pretty good. Temps in the mid/upper 90’s, paired with dewpoints hovering around the 70° mark, will lead to heat index in the 100-105° range, which is cooler than the rest of this week will be…I might just stay inside and watch Joey Chestnut eat more hot dogs in 10 minutes than I ever have.