97° is the record high September 21 temp. We should break this record. The official forecast high is 99°.
(Some were asking if we would hit 100° but models aren’t so sure we’ll get that far over 97°. Clouds may slide over the official observation sight. The heat making ridge may be weakening just a bit).
The record high for today /checks calendar/ September 20 is 97° (2018). 96° is forecast.
Tomorrow the record is 97° set in 1955. We are forecast to break that record (98°).
Humidity should be higher than previous forecasts. Mid/Upper 60°s dewpoints will drive the heat index to 100° today and 99° tomorrow.
Moving this morning in our general direction are storms that last night caused Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Warnings in the midwest. This storm complex is now much weaker and crossing the Ohio River, moving south through Kentucky. Most models think these storms will further decay and then completely fall apart before the Tennessee state line. (A few models predict the system – while weaker – will at least hold its precip and cross into Tennessee along and east of I-65).
Record highs at BNA on Tuesday (97 in 2018) and Wednesday (97 in 1955) could be tied or even broken.
NWS-Nashville, 9/18/22, AM Forecast Discussion
Hot, but not as humid as the other heatwaves this summer. Dewpoints upper 50°s (Comfortable) / lower 60°s (Sticky) during this End of Summer Heatwave.
There’s little to no hope of rain in the next 7+ days.
Today will be the same as yesterday and the day before. Then things get…worse.
This is hot but it’s not even close to the worst heat we’ve seen this summer because dewpoints — although Not Great, Bob — won’t be that bad.
Boring is good.
A ridge is an elongated area of high pressure. We’ll have one for a while. That means
We will still sweat.
When will the heat break?
Models disagree (shocking, I know).
Euro (below) thinks late next week (Friday the 23rd), the first full day of Fall!
