Today – Sun & Clouds, High of 84

There’s rain on the morning radar, but the NWS and the models say it’ll miss us.

In fact, the models predict dry weather today through midnight:

Memorial Day – Slight Thunderstorm Chance, More Humidity, High of 87

We may see a few brief late afternoon / early evening showers (from that energy you see in Texas/Oklahoma on the above map), but most of the models disagree and keep us dry. Rain and lightning would be the only real concerns (no severe weather). Don’t alter any outdoor plans. read more

Tonight

An Air Quality Alert remains in effect until midnight tonight. The general public won’t be affected, but if you’re a child, elderly, or have asthma or other respiratory issues, the NWS suggests limited prolonged outdoor exertion. read more

The Intern is back from storm chasing, and offers this forecast:

Today

It’s been a pleasant day with temps only reaching the low 70s and plenty of sun. Since those clouds are not around, we will be cooling off quickly once the sun goes down. read more

Friday – 52/70

Little Chilly. Clear Skies. NWS forecasts a “surprisingly cold Friday night.” read more

This Afternoon & Tonight

A cool front will arrive from the Ohio River. The models disagree if rain will come along.

The HRRR predicts a few light, scattered showers this afternoon:

The RAP does not:

At 12:50 p.m., a few very light showers appeared along the Ohio River, crossing into Kentucky. Our rain chances are pretty low, and if we get a shower, it likely will not ruin tonight’s outdoor activities. read more

Overnight

The models want to send us some rain in the middle of the night. For example, observe the RAP at 3 a.m.:

Thursday – 61/79

Gusty winds to 16 m.p.h. and cooler temps await.

There’s a chance of a few rain showers (but not storms) passing through late Thursday morning or afternoon (below: WRF at 4 p.m.). This should not be enough to rain out any Thursday night games: read more

Today

Storms are firing up to our west and along I-65. They’re moving NNE instead of the typical W to E motion. A few maybe strong, some severe.

The Storm Prediction Center issued its mid-afternoon update. Our severe risks have been downgraded. read more

Today – High of 81

The Storm Prediction Center has placed us under a “Slight” Risk for severe weather today.

The morning radar looks pretty clear. A few isolated rain showers may drive by.

Weather models form a broken line of scattered thunderstorms across Middle TN from around noon through dark. Some/Many of these should impact us, and might be severe. read more

Remember this afternoon’s Forecast Discussion from the NWS, which made three main points about (1) Tonight, (2) Wednesday), & (3) Thursday.

(1). Tonight:  The storms marching this way from Arkansas tonight into the wee hours of the morning may weaken. read more

Below is the weatherbell.com animated gif showing storms across the region from 1 p.m. until around 7 p.m. tonight:

read more