This morning, the Storm Prediction Center issued its Day 3 Convective Outlook.
In increasing levels of threat, here are the five categories in a SPC Outlook (Parenthetical explanations are mine; certainly not official!):
Warming Up; Strong/Severe Storms Possible Sunday
First, terrible news. We were temporarily relocated this morning:
No word on where Memphis went. (This was later fixed. We all make mistakes. Let’s give The Weather Channel a break).
Tonight – 43 by 9 pm
Fire & Titans Weather, Warm Up, Sunday Storms?, Arctic Air!
Clear & Cold Tonight & Tomorrow Morning
It’ll be 32 at 9 p.m., diving into the upper 20s during the wee hours of Thursday morning.
Thursday – Fire Weather Watch – Morning Low 27, Afternoon High 55
Coldest Air Of The Season & A Peek At The Weekend
Tonight – Cold! – High 56
We saw winds this afternoon around 20 mph (sustained), gusting to 30 mph. Wind chills were stuck in the 20s most of the day.
Winds are dying down. The Wind Advisory will expire for all of Middle Tennessee at 6 pm.
Winter Arrives Tomorrow (No Accumulating Snow)
Veterans Day – Few Clouds – High 68
It has been a beautiful day to honor the women and men who have served our country.
Winds will increase tonight ahead of an unwelcome cold front, which will arrive while we sleep.
Old Man Winter Visits Tuesday
Today – Sunny – High 61
10am 54 . 1pm 60 . 4pm 58 . 7pm 49 . 10pm 43
It may feel a little bit chilly with a wind of 5-10 mph out of the North.
Veterans Day – Few Clouds – High 65
7am 37 . 10am 53 . 1pm 62 . 4pm 61 . 7pm 52 . 10pm 47
New Details on Sn-wflakes Tuesday: Don’t Panic!!!!
Today – Clouds & Sun, Light Rain Goes South – High 63
Noon 59 . 3pm 62 . 6pm 55 . 9pm 49
Sunday – Few Clouds – High 62
6am 43 . 9am 51 . Noon 59 . 3pm 61 . 6pm 52 . 9pm 46
Gorgeous Weekend; Titans Forecast; Next Week Sn-w Update
Tonight – Mostly Clear – Overnight Low 35
Grab a jacket, and maybe even a hat!
Saturday – Sunny – High 64
7a 37 . 10a 53 . 1p 62 . 4p 61 . 7p 54 . 10p 49
The southerly winds return. A good day to be outside.
Sn-w Next Week? + Our Nice & Cool Weekend Forecast
Sn-w Next Week?
Courtesy of @Wallshark84:
The models were hinting about it yesterday.
Today’s model runs still have it.
That’s right. The models suggest a possible November sn-w. Do I think it’ll happen? Not really, no. But, then again, here’s the GFS run for Tuesday night:
Rain, Then Cooler. (And A Rant About The S Word!)
Tonight – Light Rain – Overnight Low 44
A cold front is pushing light rain across Middle Tennessee. Expect around 0.38″ in Davidson/Williamson Counties.
Here’s the HRRR model’s prediction for Wednesday 4 PM – Thursday 2 AM:
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