This morning, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued its severe weather outlook through 7 AM Friday:
As you can see, we are included in the “Slight” Risk for severe weather. We’re in this category because the SPC thinks there is a 15% probability of a 58+ mph damaging wind gust within 25 miles of you, illustrated here on this map:
Hot Wednesday & Thursday — Rain & Storms Very Late Thursday Into Friday — Clearing Late Friday — Chilly Saturday
Today – Abnormally Hot – High 89°
Fresh off the 3rd driest September, also the 10th driest month ever (since records were being kept in 1871), today marks the first day of October. So how about 10° above the normal? The culprit is a ridge of high pressure sending in warm air on a southwesterly flow (“flow” means wind). The satellite water vapor image below shows the southwesterly flow (red arrow) and a trough of low pressure, coupled with a cold front (blue arrow) moving eastward.
We got this tweet this afternoon:
I’m hoping these dry-weather aided spiderwebs will catch the irritable wasp population we wrote about earlier this week.
Our last measureable (not a “trace”) rain occurred on September 11 (0.02″). For the month, we’ve seen 0.21″, which is 2.84″ less than a normal September. However, we’re still 0.31″ above normal for the year.
Three days ago, the major global weather models (and later, some of the regional models) predicted torrential rain for us today. We were, they said,
Regular readers of this website will notice that between then and now, the models have been taking that system that was “meant” for us, and sending it southeastward. Notice the frustration in the tone of this morning’s NWS forecast discussion, which I quote (Note: the NWS writes in ALL CAPS all the time, don’t read anything into that. Just think of a Meg Ryan [as “us”] / Tom Hanks [as “rain”] movie while reading:)
Latest Official Temp & Other Stuff, taken at :53 every hour
Thursday Night – Still Awesome
NWS thinks patchy fog may develop overnight, but with the lowest dewpoint depression at 5° (temp minus dewpoint, 60° – 55° = 5°), fog shouldn’t be a big problem overnight and Friday morning. Beware the usually foggy spots.
