Current Observations and Radar

Today 81° Rain Driving By
Today isn’t looking like a washout, at least not right now.
We are between two converging features: a weak surface front coming from our NW, and an upper level low coming from the S.
Current Radar
We think the rain should stay east of us tonight, but we are not completely ruling it out.
HRRR supports the Looks Pretty Good Tonight thinking:
Rain chances remain higher Sunday vs. today. An arriving upper level low pressure feature + a shortwave from the Mississippi Valley = a pretty decent chance of at least a little rain, maybe more. We’re hoping most of the rain will stay east of us. Rain is most likely between lunch and dinner.
Current Radar
The chill in the air is a thing of the past.
An arriving area of low pressure aloft, despite weak high pressure at the surface, means rain chances are back.
Without an obvious rain-initiating, trackable feature, timing/ETA/amounts are difficult. Our best thinking is:
Current Observations and Radar (refresh your browser to update the radar)
From the afternoon forecast discussion from NWS-Nashville:
A “cold front will move through tonight and while there could be some scattered showers and/or thunderstorms, models continue to show the front being very diffuse in nature. This should limit coverage this evening, but one or two strong storms aren’t out of the question, so remain weather aware this evening.”
Current Observations and Radar (trying something new)
This morning, a shower and storm producing shortwave was crossing through Middle Tennessee.
As I write this, it’s south of us.
Afternoon rain and storm chances are pretty small. A few showers may freckle the radar. Tailgaters beware.