So many questions, so many variables, so many different outcomes, few answers. This blog may not contain the answer(s) you are looking for, but it’s the honest answer. The Wattery is random. If a genie gave me three wishes, my first wish would be to have the knowledge of when/where the Wattery would strike. But since I don’t personally know any genies, here I am giving you vague, yet honest answers.
Rain just to our west this morning. HRRR model (below) thinks it slides a little this way during the afternoon and some of us may get some rain and lightning before it pushes north. For tonight, the HRRR thinks more Wattery style showers/storms pop-up sometime this evening.
Another hot + humid day with the heat index maxing out near 100°.
HRRR model (below) think the showers/storms in Arkansas and West TN slowlyyy make their way here, if they make it at all. ETA would be sometime in the evening. HRRR model doesn’t think there are any Wattery chances but cannot rule one or two out. No widespread severe weather is expected but a storm or two could have some strong straight-line winds and some heavy rain.
Muggy today, high of 93° paired with dewpoints in the low 70’s will send heat index close to the triple digits.
HRRR model thinks only a couple winning Wattery tickets will be sold today. Your guess is as good as mine as to where those winning tickets may be. No severe weather expected, but a storm or two could have some heavy rain and strong winds.
It will certainly feel like August as high temps get into the low 90’s, although we could fail to make it there if cloud cover starts to dominate. Dewpoints in the low 70’s will make it feel gross.
A t-rex may seem really intimidating. However, it has such tiny arms that it kinda makes you laugh. Maybe if they hadn’t gone extinct, they’d be a lot more terrifying too, but since they are, and they can’t prove me any differently, I think the intimidation factor goes away after you laugh at their tiny arms.
Most of the rain today stayed west. Tonight the heaviest showers will be south. Few showers possible later this afternoon and tonight:
We are not worried about any severe weather.
Recently we’ve seen the heaviest rain over Will Co. and parts of Nashville south of I-40:
Models are like your next-door neighbors. You think they are good people, and you feel like you can somewhat trust them. But then you hear that one story about them from ’08 and you start reconsidering everything you’ve ever thought about them.
Some real drought busting rain moving through this morning. Watch out for water over roads and as always, turn around, don’t drown.
HRRR model thinks the current rain moves out by a bit after lunchtime. It then thinks, emphasis on thinks, we stay clear for the remainder of the day. I have my doubts about this, our atmosphere will still be water-loaded. The Wattery may hand out more winning tickets, and they may not be as rare as the one-billion-dollar winning ticket. Outdoor planners stay connected and informed but so far looks okay. If storms do form, more chances of flash flooding and a low probability of a strong storm or two. Not worried about tornadoes.
Good news is,
Temps are on the downward trend (for now) as we may not get to 90° today, and only mid 80’s this weekend. Bad news, dewpoints will still be not-so-kind and be in the low 70’s. Also mid 90’s return next week in case you missed them.
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