New data arrived over the past few hours. Below see forecast changes.
During lunch SPC introduced tornado, hail, and damaging straight line wind risks for Thursday afternoon/early evening.
The probability of a tornado within 25 miles of you is 5%.
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Storms Thursday Afternoon/Evening and Friday Morning (for now).
NAM3 and HRRR models think storms will fire up mid afternoon Thursday in Middle Tennessee. Both models include storms in Davidson and Williamson Counties. One model thinks another line of storms will arrive Friday morning after AM rush hour. I am not sold on the timing of any of this. Never tell me the odds!
Storm Potential Later This Afternoon, Evening
Storms Tonight, Tuesday. Not that big a deal, borderline strong/severe.
Severe Weather Possible Tuesday
Showers/Storms Possible Tonight, Great Soccer Weather Tomorrow
Last day of April brings us a bit above average temperatures. Nothin’ crazy. Noticeable breeze from the south and clouds will aid in keeping you a lil cooler.
Tonight
The HRRR model (above) shows some storms popping off and moving into our area around 7-9p. These storms should move out fairly quick. However, they may carry some lightning, so if you have outdoor plans, have a way to seek shelter inside. If thunder roars, go indoors. No severe weather is expected at this time, but stay connected.
Clear Today, Rain Chance Saturday Night
Friday and Saturday – enjoy these warm temps and rain-free skies. Highs are in the 80’s and lows in the 60’s AKA capital S Spring weather.
The next weather event we’re watching is Saturday overnight into Sunday. HRRR shows some spotty storms arriving around midnight and clearing out by 7am. This means your Saturday evening plans should be good to go, as well as your Sunday plans!
Still Warming Up, Possible Weekend Showers
Warmer Temps On the Way + Weekend Rain?
A cool morning turning into a pleasantly warm day. Super dry atmosphere = clear skies and lots of sunshine.
A surface ridge will bring us progressively warmer temps in the coming days. Highs in the 80s by the weekend. Well above average this time of year. Extra moisture will come with it. A little more cloud coverage and rain chances start to creep in over the weekend.