We have a lot to follow in this forecast. Let’s start with this afternoon and early evening. We’re expecting rain to being this afternoon, and a rumble of thunder isn’t out of the question. We’ve recently been given a general thunderstorm outlook from the Storm Prediction Center (below).
(Sunday’s forecast for Monday’s snow wasn’t horrible, wasn’t great. Looked like SE Will Co could get clipped and that’s what happened. The “place” forecast was good, the “amount” forecast was not. All the models “missed” this event, a reminder that weather models are not forecasts. Forecasts are not truth. Future prediction is hard. The arrogant forecast will be humbled. –David.)
Here’s a quick rundown of how today’s gonna go:
Sunday will be a little sunnier, and a little warmer.
Unfortunately, they’re not looking great right now.
Here’s what the National Weather Service has to say about this system:
The HRRR shows some showers popping up around 6 pm Thursday. They’re expected to be out of the region by the midmorning hours Friday.
This doesn’t look to be a washout – rain totals will be anywhere from a tenth to a quarter of an inch.
It was definitely a chilly morning when some of you woke up:
We have sunny skies and temps warming up through the afternoon, highs around 48°.
Clear conditions continue overnight, lows near 31°.
Sunshine will continue to stick around, which helps temperatures to continue to rise.
Nothing much to talk about today: clear skies, plenty of sunshine, and high temps near 55°.
Clouds will begin to move in overnight.
Wake up to around 38°. Afternoon highs in the lower 60°s .
Through the afternoon, a shower or two could roll into your neighborhood ahead of the main line. Golfers should expect wind gusts to 28 MPH. Protect feeble inflatable Santas.
It’s chilly out this morning. Wind chills are near 29°.
Some clouds are still lingering this morning, as shown in the satellite imagery below. They will clear out through the late morning and afternoon hours, giving way to sunny skies.
This morning, the fog lifted over Middle Tennessee, as seen below on satellite.
Sunshine today, but clouds will increase this afternoon. Colder than yesterday. High temps near 52°.
The HRRR model thinks a hard, cold rain (wind chills in the 30°s) will start around 8 PM. Rain won’t end until just before sunrise Monday morning.
That’s roughly the difference between the average high temperatures for today and the high temps we’re expecting.
On average for today (December 9th), we’ll usually see high temps near 50°.
Clouds are beginning to move in this morning.
High temps will be near 53° today.
It should be dry throughout much of the afternoon, but can’t rule out some stray showers popping up ahead of the main rain event.
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