About Yesterday, then Looking Ahead to the Weekend
Tuesday, January 12, 2021 · Kelsey Rogers
(Sunday’s forecast for Monday’s snow wasn’t horrible, wasn’t great. Looked like SE Will Co could get clipped and that’s what happened. The “place” forecast was good, the “amount” forecast was not. All the models “missed” this event, a reminder that weather models are not forecasts. Forecasts are not truth. Future prediction is hard. The arrogant forecast will be humbled. –David.)
Here’s what we got yesterday. This is a preliminary map from NWS-Nashville:
Along and south of I-840 saw close to 2 inches:
About 1.75” at 9:30am. Just south of the center of Thompson’s Station near 31. #tspotter pic.twitter.com/mKnV1I98ps
— Colin Lord (@colinlord) January 11, 2021
BNA reported 0.01 inches of precipitation.
We have not had a Winter Storm Warning (3″ or more), in well, it’s been a minute:
We joke about the #snowdome a lot, but there is some truth to it – #MiddleTennessee hasn't had a Winter Storm Warning issued for the area in 3 years (1089 days), by far the longest stretch in the entire country away from the coast pic.twitter.com/5Vmv1boNlk
— Sam Shamburger (@shamnadoes) January 12, 2021
Rain/Snow Saturday?
Through Thursday, everyday will be looking about the same: sunshine and warmer temps.
Another system is expected to move through Friday night, bringing another wave of cold temps with it.
Models don’t look impressive right now, but there is a chance of some showers rolling into your neighborhood during the overnight hours Friday night into Saturday.
Could this make snow? Maybe? Here’s what the National Weather Service has to say about overnight Friday into Saturday morning:
Cold air will arrive quickly behind the front on Friday, so will need to keep an eye on the temps to see if this moisture will come down as rain or a rain/snow mix. Saturday becomes a bit more interesting with moisture as temps would certainly be cold enough for the predominant precipitation type to be snow.
NWS Area Forecast Discussion
This event is still several days out, and models have been inconsistent with this system. More on this tomorrow, and on Twitter throughout the day.
