Rain Lottery Today; Tropical Storm/Depression Alberto On The Way

The rain lottery returns this afternoon:

Rain and storms are expected to randomly pop up around mid-afternoon. Exactly when and where is unknown. Once they pop up, they won’t move much. They should end by early evening. Here’s the HRRR model’s illustration through 11 PM tonight: read more

More Storms Possible Tomorrow

This afternoon, a severe thunderstorm developed in Maury County. By late afternoon, rain cooled air from that thunderstorm raced north and set off severe thunderstorms in Williamson then Davidson Counties. Hardest hit was Belle Meade and surrounding communities. High winds brought down trees and power was lost. We got several reports of small hail. Torrential rains caused localized flooding. read more

It’s “We Don’t Know Exactly When or Where but It May Rain This Afternoon” Season

It’s uncertainty season.

Here’s one reason why ETAs and rain/no rain questions about your outdoor event are very difficult to answer with confidence.

Remember in elementary school when you were hopefully taught rain is basically just a tall cloud. The taller the cloud, the more water it has. When it gets tall and big enough, the water it has is too heavy to stay suspended in the cloud, so the water falls. That’s rain. read more

Decisions!

Future prediction is hard.

This week we’re at our outdoorsiest…during what’s statistically the wettest week of the year, mid-May.

Will it rain [insert location, date, time] because I have [plants to water, graduation ceremony, a game, going out with friends and thinking about a white top, it’s field day, etc] and I have to decide what to do? read more

Hot & Humid Monday; Rain Chances Begin Tuesday & Run Thru the Weekend

Humidity will increase again Monday, somewhere between sticky and uncomfortable.

Low 90s temps with dewpoints in the mid 60s will make it feel like mid 90 temps in the heat of the afternoon.

Another Reminder to Check the Back Seat

From the National Weather Service: read more

First Real Hot & Humid Days of 2018: Today, Monday, & Tuesday. Then a Decent Chance of Rain.

Yesterday, for the first time in 2018, BNA hit 90. This was early: on average, we hit 90 on May 29. Look for highs today of 91, Monday 93, and Tuesday 92.

For us, yesterday’s heat was a “dry heat,” with dew points at or below 60. Dew points (the humidity) will rise today, tomorrow, and Tuesday, into “extra deodorant swipe needed” and “your hair will frizz” levels. read more

Bit of Overnight Rain Possible, More Rain Wed Night - Thu, Weekend Outlook Looks Good

The HRRR was right this morning. Heavy rain, lightning, and small hail trucked through between 5 PM and 6 PM.

The HRRR thinks a little more rain is possible in the wee hours of the morning (before rush hour), but of little to no consequence: read more

Watch Out for Rain or a Storm Tonight

It’s sunny now. Expect temps in the 80s.

Sunshine may not last all day. We may see a few waves of rain and storms tonight.

The HRRR model thinks rain with a few thunderstorms will race in from the north early this evening (5 PM or 6 PM or so), and again before midnight. read more

Great Week Ahe....Rain Friday. Saturday Too? Ummmm Maybe.

Temps will rise into the low/mid 80°s this week. Humidity is also rising, but it won’t be that bad.

Mornings won’t be as cold; Tuesday morning expect 51°, then mornings warm into the 60°s after that. read more

Heating Up; Rain/Storm ETA Friday(ish)

It’ll Get Hot This Week

Gradually. 76° Monday, mid 80°s Tuesday through Thursday. read more