Rain ETA
Light rain is arriving now. On Twitter I’ll be covering the impact, if any, this rain has on the Titans game, so let’s just move on to New Year’s Eve, because there’s a lot to say about it.
Author: David
Answering Your Letters About: Colts/Titans, Rain/Storms Tomorrow, Thu/Fri Snow Chances
Dear NSW,
Colts at Titans kickoff at 7:20 PM. I have tickets and my cousin Marbles is a degenerate gambler. Will it rain?
/s/ Fish
The truth is weather models still disagree, but if we look through them we’ll get an educated guess.
- The Euro model thinks it might start very lightly raining in the fourth quarter, but probably not.
- The HRRR model (my go-to model at this range, but it’s not perfect) thinks rain will arrive in the second half, not really effecting field conditions too much, but enough to make the ball slippery.
- The NAM3 model is the rainiest (as usual, it loves to say Watch Out! Gonna Rain!). Here it is, below, from 7 PM to 11 PM tonight, delivering rain throughout the game:
By mid-afternoon we’ll have a good idea which model will land closest to the truth when we look on radar to our southwest and see how close the rain actually is to us.
Nicer Friday, Watching Next Rain Event Late Sunday (Titans?) - Monday
It was not earthquake. It was lightning!
At 3:39, multiple lightning strikes hit simultaneously around Nashville causing a very loud thunderous roar from Goodlettsville to Nolensville to Brentwood. Here are some still shots of the strikes from our cameras downtown, all taken from just a few frames of video. ^al pic.twitter.com/rlTfGzeg2x
Rainy & Windy Thursday; Music City Bowl & Titans Game Updates
Executive summary, because you’re busy:
- Nice Wednesday
- Rain Thursday through Friday Morning: 1″ to 1.5″ Total
- Music City Bowl & Colts/Titans Probably No Rain But There’s Still Uncertainty
Wednesday
Unseasonably warm temps ahead!
Rain, Maybe Storms, Thursday – Friday
Start Time: Thursday morning, as light rain. Through the day rain will be off and on.
The heaviest rain will come in a line, expected Thursday late afternoon or early Thursday night. Below is simulated radar (NAM3) showing the heaviest rain rolling in around 5-6 PM.
Rainy, Windy Thursday + Music City Bowl & Colts at Titans Forecasts
Merry Christmas! Some in Will Co got a White Christmas!
In this edition:
- Nice Christmas & Boxing Day
- Rain Thursday through Friday Morning: 1″ to 1.5″ Total
- Music City Bowl & Colts/Titans Forecasts
Christmas & Boxing Days
Sleet streaked through Williamson County this morning, but is long gone. Uneventful weather will follow today and tomorrow.
We may even see the sun. Satellite through 11 AM:
Few Light, Nuisance Christmas Showers. Rain Thursday. Music City Bowl & Colts/Titans Rain Chances.
- Few Very Light, Scattered Christmas Showers
- Thursday Night: Heavy Rain, Even a Few Weak Thunderstorms Possible
- Music City Bowl: Kickoff Rain Possible
- Colts at Titans: Probably Dry & Not Too Cold
Mostly Cloudy, Few Raindrops Christmas Day
A few light, mid-morning Christmas showers are possible.
So says the HRRR model:
NAM3 model agrees:
These won’t be a problem, just a nuisance. You’ll have plenty of time to be outside tomorrow.
Christmas Day, Rain Thursday, Music City Bowl, & Colts at Titans Forecasts
- Rain Unlikely Christmas Day
- Heavy Rain, Maybe Even Storms Thursday Night
- Music City Bowl: Kickoff Rain?
- Colts at Titans: Models Egg-Nogging
Cloudy – But Not Rainy – Christmas Day
A rain system is approaching from the west. It should fall apart completely when it arrives tomorrow. Just clouds for us, so says the HRRR model:
But the NAM3 model thinks enough rain will survive. If this model is right, Christmas Day will be light, drizzly, and off-and-on.
Freezing Fog Possible Early Tomorrow Morning, Christmas Forecast, and ICYMI, our 2018 Year-End Letter
Tonight, winds turn north. Wind chills will approach freezing.
Freezing Fog Possible Monday Morning
Temps should drop below freezing shortly after 3 AM and stay below freezing until 8 AM or so. Early morning patchy fog may lay down a thin layer of ice on roads where fog settles. If you’re up early Monday morning and see fog on the road, assume a thin layer of ice has formed. Any such hazard will end about an hour or two after sunrise when temps rise above freezing.
