“AIR QUALITY ALERT”

Sounds like a locust swarm or volcano eruption. It’s not.

It’s a Code Orange Health Advisory, otherwise known as being a Tennessee Volunteer football fan (save us, Jeremy Pruitt), but really, it’s issued by the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation and: read more

Scattered light rain was in West Tennessee at 12:50 PM, moving this way.

Not everyone will get a rain or storm today. Models have different ideas.

Honestly, it looks meh, but we may see afternoon action. read more

ETAs

No specific reliable ETAs due to model uncertainty and storm setup. But we have an idea: around 1 PM to 5 PM.

• Rain and storm activity should “increase substantially late this morning, peaking mid to late afternoon.” (NWS-Nashville).
• The HRRR model expects thunderstorms to develop to our NW just after lunch then swing through Nashville and Williamson County between 1 and 5 PM:

• The NAM3 model predicts storms will develop later in the afternoon, creating a small amount of forecast uncertainty.
• New weather balloon data is not yet in. That data provides a temperature at which storms should form. Yesterday that temperature was in the mid-80°s, which we reached mid-afternoon. I bet that happens again today. Today before 8 AM temps were low 70°s and rising. We should hit mid 80°s around lunchtime, so I am leaning toward the 1 PM to 5 PM ETA for all storm activity.
• NWS-Nashville is confident we will see some rain and storms so factor that into your plans. They think rain is likely around 1 PM and very likely around 4 PM for Nashville and Williamson County.

Flexible plans recommended in case that changes. If you don’t think it may change, welcome to Nashville! You must be new. read more

Flash Flood Warnings are expiring as the rain moves east.

The nasty stuff is gone.

Monday Night

The HRRR model shows a few light showers coming thru late tonight. Clear by sunrise.

Watch the driest air (in blue) come in overnight, then go west toward Memphis, what a tease: read more

Barry is the big weather story.

WHAT BARRY IS DOING AND WHERE IT’S GOING

If you’re reading this Saturday afternoon, there may be updates to below National Hurricane Center (NHC) graphics, which you can find here. read more

I’d rather have a storm on radar than a storm on a model. I just would.

Seeing storms on models is like being a skinny 8th grade kid wondering if I’m going to get a date to the 8th grade dance. (Spoiler: it did not go well, many years ago). read more

SATURDAY MORNING STORMS

More storms

are incoming this morning; we’re live tweeting them again.

Damaging winds are the main concern. Storms should intensify at least a little as they cross into Tennessee from Kentucky. read more

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH CANCELLED

At 853 PM.

No more severe weather expected tonight.

Just some light rain.

STORM REPORTS

My fave photo of the night:

@NashSevereWx @NWSNashville @FOXNashville @WKRN pic.twitter.com/CgtEwG5Bq9

— David Howe (@DHdeeder) June 22, 2019 read more

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

A Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms.

A storm system is expected tonight, coming in a large line down I-24 from Kentucky.

Do not get hung up on Williamson County’s exclusion. A second Watch may be needed, to include Will Co., if storms stay severe tonight as they cross the KY/TN line. read more

That was quite the evening of severe storms last night.

North Nashville storms before 8 AM should drift north and out of our area.

THURSDAY – FRIDAY MORNING

Later this morning,

further development in west TN and persistent [model] guidance suggests that more scattered [storms] will continue from mid morning through the early afternoon…especially for locations along and north of I-40. This will be monitored over the next few hours, but the severe threat should generally remain low. . . . Most of us will dry out by mid afternoon and early evening, remaining dry through the first half of Friday. (NWS-Nashville). read more