Snow, Sleet, or Rain Wednesday Night into Thursday? When Will All This Ice Melt?

First a personal note. I put on a guy on blast on Twitter this afternoon. I shouldn’t have. I got frustrated because I thought his criticism was unfair, and for a minute I thought I was in court. Those who disagree with me or don’t like the way we do things nevertheless deserve my respect. Dragging anyone’s tweet out in front of our audience out of anger and revenge in order to shame them to try and win an argument is not cool. What I did was, and is, wrong. Twitter feuds drive a wedge between us, no minds change, we all just end up angry. I apologized to him (to his credit, he was the bigger man and reached out to me first). The truth is my pride in what we built made me a jerk. I should always be kind. I’ve been given grace, and I did not return it. David. read more

The Trend Toward More Ice, Less Snow.

Roads, steps, decks, and sidewalks coated with black ice this morning and this afternoon are dealing with a heavy coat of sleet tonight. Travel is dangerous. Do not try it. 4WD may provide traction, but it cannot assist your stop. read more

Winter Storm Watch. Ice, Then Snow Incoming Sunday & Monday.

“This is an evolving forecast that will likely change over the next 24-36 hours.” –NWS-Nashville.

Saturday night – Sunday morning, there may still be lingering slick spots on bridges and overpasses. Drizzle on windshields means black ice on roads. read more

“A significant winter storm Sun-Mon is becoming likely…” -@NWSNashville

Until 10 AM this morning (Saturday) a Winter Weather Advisory warns of freezing fog, freezing drizzle, and a few patches of light freezing rain laying down “ice accumulations of a light glaze.” read more

Black Ice Concerns Tonight & Overnight, with 3 more Wintry-Precip-Possible Systems on our Horizon

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Rain ended after lunch. Instead of dry weather and a stiff wind, we got a steady drizzle for several hours.

Drizzle wet the streets.

Temps are dropping and should reach freezing everywhere in Davidson and Williamson Counties tonight. Black ice will form in spots, regardless of elevation. Many places will drop to 30°, some may get colder. read more

Ice Event Possible Late Wednesday Night Into Thursday. What to know, plan for.

At 7:34 PM Tuesday night light precip crept into West Tennessee. That blue precip is rain, the pink is frozen precip.

That rain will spread into west and middle Tennessee all day Wednesday. We should be in the “just rain” zone for most of the day Wednesday. read more

The Etymology of Blerg, Rain Thursday Maybe Friday, & “A Bonafide Arctic Cold Front” a Week From Today?

Will and I discussed what Blerg really means.

The dictionary definition of Blerg is (1) temps under 40°, (2) no sun, and (3) no snow. This dictionary lives on our timeline, no where else, sorry Miriam, not sorry Webster. read more

Monday Morning Snow: Current Thinking, High End Potential, & Low End Potential

Models have been consistent. Snow incoming after midnight tonight. The HRRR model:

Falling snow, and accumulating snow, are two different things.

What We Think (right now)

The current expectation is nothing to a half inch:

Snow falling is more likely than snow accumulating. read more

Weekend Update: Chilly Fire Weather, Soaky Rainer, Snow feat. the Notorious D.A.M.

Don’t Burn Stuff

Relative humidity will drop near/below 45% Saturday morning. That’s really dry for us. Fires may be uncontrollable because south winds will blow 10-15 MPH.

Smoldering smokesticks staying in your ride and not on the grassy median would be lovely thanks. read more

Rain Saturday, Flakes Sunday Night - Monday AM.

The U.S. West Coast is getting mudslides and epic snowfalls. It’s supercold in the northeast.

Here, not so much.

Saturday Afternoon Rain?

Models disagree about Saturday afternoon. Most think a rain wave will pass by but dry air will gobble it up the drops before they reach the ground. read more