Current Observations and Radar (trying something new)

Tonight – Don’t Cancel Your Plans

We had a couple of no-quite-severe storms, including small hail in N Davidson Co and this wet microburst:

A look at the HRRR for the rest of tonight looks pretty grim for outdoor stuff: read more

Current Observations and Radar (trying something new)

Friday – Humidity & Rain Chances Return – High 89°

Humidity is back!

This summer, rain has usually come from I-24 in Kentucky, moving SE towards us.

Today, that pattern reverses.

As I write this, a few renegade rain showers are working their way NW from the Chattanooga area.The HRRR model – although possibly exaggerating this feature – shows rain taking I-24 and advancing closer through all day: read more

Current Radar

Tonight –  Can’t Rule Out, But Not Expecting, Rain 

Although we expressed uncertainty (here and on Twitter), I grade today’s “some rain” forecast like this:

I can point to the storms that formed 30 miles that way, or offer some explanation for the sunshine and attempt to sound smart. But really, who cares. read more

Current Radar

Today –  Humid, Off & On Rain, Maybe a Storm – High: 90°

A lot of rain is piling up to our west. It’s being pushed by a weak cold front, which will arrive tonight.

Here’s what the HRRR thinks the radar will look like through 9 PM:

read more

Current Radar

Monday –  Some Rain, Maybe a Storm – High: 91°

A cold front is coming, which means off and on rain is expected during the day. Blanketing clouds will keep temps from soaring to 93° (where we were Sunday).

We aren’t exactly sure when the rain will start. The NAM4 model thinks we’ll see it around 10 AM: read more

Current Radar

Experimental Radar

(Poor Mr. Belding)

Tonight – We Don’t Think It’ll Rain

The slim chance of rain did not materialize.  We did see showers at the TN/AL border, but nothing bugging us.

We can’t completely rule out a shower from sprouting, but we don’t think it’ll rain tonight. read more

Current Radar

Experimental Radar

Today – More Humidity – High: 94°

Humidity was low this weekend thanks to dewpoints in the 50°s and low 60°s. This ends today.

The dewpoint will move into the mid 60°s, a decent crank-up of humidity. read more

Current Radar

Pleasant Tonight

We hit 90° today, but the dewpoint never made it out of the 50°s.

Monday – Warming Up – High: 94°

The winds will shift from north to south overnight Sunday into Monday morning. So, hotter.

Tuesday – Still Hot; Rising Humidity – High: 94°

The dew point will climb into the upper 60°s. read more

Current Radar

Tue 95°, Wed 94° Oppressive Humidity, Small Rain Chances

Today dewpoints in the low 70°s will hang around Tuesday and Wednesday.

It’ll remain awful out there. The heat index (“feels like”) temp will range between 100° and 105° Tuesday and Wednesday. read more

Current Radar

Oppressive Humidity Arrives Tonight

The rain moving down I-24 this afternoon should be completely gone by sundown.

By 10 PM tonight, the dewpoint will rise to 73°.

That’s oppressive humidity.

Super Humid Monday High: 94°

The heat index will hit the triple digits by noon. read more