Today we’ve experienced one of, if not the hottest day thus far this year. Thankfully, dewpoints in the low 60s have kept the heat index right near the actual air temperature.
These hot temperatures aren’t going anywhere, with high temps in the 90s thru the remainder of the forecast.
Although it is a dry weekend, it sure is a hot one.
Today and Saturday will be hot, but the heat index won’t differ too much from the actual air temperature.
Sunday and Monday will be the hottest. Dewpoints will creep up, allowing for the heat index to surpass 100°. If you have to be outside either of those days, take it easy. Take frequent breaks in the shade and/or A/C.
Monday seems to be our only day with rain chances in the forecast, but those chances are low.
"Monday will be Middle TN`s best shot
at getting some rain in this forecast package. Unfortunately, it`s
still not a great shot. Will maintain a 20-30% chance, however, if
you get a storm on Monday afternoon, expect brief heavy rainfall,
lots of lightning and even the potential for some gusty winds." - NWS Nashville AFD
90s as far as the eye can see…
The humidity could be nicer, but it could also be worse. Dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s will make ya sweat faster.
Peak heat will be Sunday (sorry dads), with high temperatures flirting with the 100° mark, but models think we fall just short. Regardless, heat index values may exceed 100°. Only a little better for days not named Sunday, heat index values in the upper 90s still possible.
Today is the last day to get any outside yardwork done, at least in somewhat comfortable weather, for the foreseeable future.
Dewpoints in the 50s today, turn up into the mid 60s tomorrow, upper 60s by the weekend. Grosssssss.
Today was/will be one of the last days we experience nice temperatures for the foreseeable future.
NWS Nashville made this handy dandy graph to show how to combo of temperatures + humidity will worsen throughout the week. Emphasis on worsen.
I am getting the same feeling looking at the temperatures for later this week as I do when I am forced to climb the old, scary, wooden ladder I have – “oh great here we go again.” I don’t like heights – or supahot temps.
So far today rain has been kind to us – mostly missing us. Models continue to think this trend will continue throughout the day, with only the occasional shower and low thunderstorm chances.
The HRRR model, shown above, thinks we’ll get away with a dry afternoon and only a few light showers along a cold front that will push thru around sunset, bringing relief from the humidity for the next couple of days. Still not a bad idea to bring rain gear to the CMA Fest, just not sure how much you’ll need it.
We are left with a nearly rain-free week ahead.
"Through this week, a stray pop-up shower or storm cannot be ruled
out, particularly late week when humidity creeps up. But for the
most part, models show the dry air and strong ridge suppressing
any significant rain chances." - NWS Nashville AFD
A storm complex will make a run at us overnight tonight, kicking off an off/on rainy Sunday.
HRRR thinks the first round of rain gets here around 3:00 am. Could have some thunder/lightning with it. Doggies prepare. The window closes on rain chances about 7:00 pm. Time stamps top left.
Our local NWS office issues a technical forecast discussion at least twice a day. They’re filled with information, and often contain terms that are understood by the weather community, but perhaps, not many others. However, today’s discussion is perfect for just about everyone. Didn’t see much of a need to re-invent the wheel…except for maybe substituting a word or two. Read on.
From NWS Nashville re: Saturday’s Rain Chances:
We continue to look for development of a [storm complex] up to our northwest
tonight. This batch of showers and storms will make a run at us by
Saturday morning, but most of the system will break up as it
encounters dry and stable air in place across Middle Tennessee.
Still, we could have a few brief showers or sprinkles as the
remnants of the system cross the area Saturday morning and midday.
We do not expect any thunderstorms with this activity. The main
result will be some mid level clouds and very brief light showers
that should not have much if any impact on outdoor events.
The first disturbance feat. rain “should fizzle on Saturday,” all quotes from the NWS-Nashville forecast discussion. So that looks good, but note: side-eye:
Second disturbance ETA Saturday night. “We look for good chances for rain and some lightning Saturday night through Sunday morning.”
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