Hey y’all.

First, everyone take a deep breath. Like any good forecast, below you will find important details, nuance, and uncertainties.

Resist any tendency to panic at the details that may scare you, or ignore the things which may limit the threat. read more

Quiet Weather Today as Thursday’s Storm System Sweeps Our Way

Partly cloudy skies this morning will gradually become mostly cloudy by late afternoon/early evening. Temperatures today will approach 80º!

Significant Severe Event Possible Thursday

Overview

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded a majority of our area to an “Enhanced Risk” (3 out of 5) for seeing severe thunderstorms tomorrow. A small portion of Davidson and Williamson Counties, mainly west of I-65, are now in a “Moderate Risk” (4 out of 5). read more

Deep Breath! – Much Calmer Day In Store

Another calm day on Wednesday, but temperatures will warm into the upper 70s as winds become more southerly by evening ahead of our next batch of storms.

Nashville’s Radar Set For Another Workout On Thursday

Let’s start with the “What, When, Where”… read more

Tonight’s severe weather threat has ended.

Expect a few showers, and we can’t completely rule out lightning, but expect a quiet night ahead.

Clearing Tuesday Morning, Clouds Remain Through Wednesday

While we could see a few lingering showers in the early AM on Tuesday, the majority of the showers should be pushed to our east and out of our area. Expecting for gradual clearing to occur tomorrow, but the majority of the clouds will remain over our area. read more

Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Possible This Afternoon and Evening

Timing of Severe Weather: 2 PM Through 10 PM

This ETA is broad/wide because of significant uncertainty. The models do not agree. Most, however, have 2 rounds of storms.

Round 1: Mid-to-late afternoon, as storms cluster and move into Middle TN from north MS. Do not look for a specific timing, like 3:30 PM vs 5:30 PM, because the risk of misleading you with a specific time is too high. read more

Strong or Severe Thunderstorms Possible Monday

Our active Spring continues. Another storm system is on the way.

Rain is possible in the morning, as what’s left from the severe weather system in Oklahoma moves east. However, it looks more like those storms will impact west Tennessee and move into Kentucky. So says the HRRR model, below: read more

A Few Off/On Showers Sunday, But Most of the Rain is Gone

Most of the rain has gone east. The HRRR model, below, thinks a few new showers will develop and give us a chance of a passing shower or two today:

Here it is, zoomed in:

If you aren’t already rained out from rain yesterday and overnight, you should be good to go for outdoor stuff. The Nashville Chili Fest is a “Go,” if risk averse, have an umbrella nearby, but you may not need it. read more

Still Could See More Rain and a Few Storms (One or Two Could Be Strong)

We’ve already see scattered showers with a few thunderstorms today. The main line of showers that we were initially watching passed through earlier today. There are still some more scattered showers and thunderstorms around the area, with some models wanting to push them through our area during the evening tonight. read more

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy and Windy

There are clouds way overhead today. Notice the other clouds, the lower ones, moving north. They’re being blown by strong south winds.

We’ve already had a gust to 31 MPH at BNA.

These winds are expected to carry over through the night into tomorrow. read more

Today and Tonight: Mostly Cloudy Skies and Windy

Expecting for a fairly average day today to finish up the work week. We could see the sun at some points through the day, but we do have a blanket of clouds to block out the full on sunshine.

Current satellite imagery shows the majority of the southeastern U.S. experiencing this cloud cover. read more