Quiet Wed., Stormy Thursday, Great Weekend!


Deep Breath! – Much Calmer Day In Store

Another calm day on Wednesday, but temperatures will warm into the upper 70s as winds become more southerly by evening ahead of our next batch of storms.

Nashville’s Radar Set For Another Workout On Thursday

Let’s start with the “What, When, Where”…

What? 

Rain possible Thursday morning, quickly fizzling out. Storms re-develop in the afternoon, some could be strong or severe. Hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns, along with heavy rainfall. As is with most every scenario, a tornado cannot be ruled out.

When?

Primetime for severe weather looks to be after 2PM Thursday…this is a very rough estimate and will likely change in future forecasts. Storms could last into the wee-hours of Friday morning.

Latest Loop of GFS Model, Thursday-Friday AM

Where? 

Davidson and Williamson Counties are both included in the risk for storms and severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined both counties in a “Slight Risk” (2 out of 5) for severe storms on Thursday. This is the latest graphic from NWS Nashville:

Uncertainties About Thursday:

  • Instability doesn’t look all too impressive, and will be dependent on whether or not morning storms stabilize our atmosphere or areas to the west.
  • A complex of storms may be ongoing Thursday morning along the Gulf Coast. “How does that influence our weather in Tennessee?” By taking away or modifying the normal Gulf of Mexico/southerly flow, this reduces moisture and warm air return into our area.

This is another event worth keeping a watch on. However, there is no reason to “freak out” about Thursday at this time.

Extended Outlook

Good news for anyone wanting to grill or get outside this weekend — dry and comfortable weather is in play!

Saturday and Sunday, a few clouds will be around, but mostly sunny skies will allow temperatures to hover near 70º in the afternoon hours.

GFS Model Loop Next Monday-Tuesday

Another wet weather maker returns by Monday and Tuesday, providing us a jump start on April rainfall totals.

5-Day Allergy Forecast From Pollen.com