Forecast Blogs

Low Severe Weather Threat, Unsettled Week Ahead

Still Could See More Rain and a Few Storms (One or Two Could Be Strong)

We’ve already see scattered showers with a few thunderstorms today. The main line of showers that we were initially watching passed through earlier today. There are still some more scattered showers and thunderstorms around the area, with some models wanting to push them through our area during the evening tonight.

HRRR shows these scattered showers through the remainder of the afternoon into the evening hours.

 If you have evening plans, they may be soggy, so have the umbrella or rain jacket on hand.

SPC Convective Outlook for Today

Any storm that misbehaves tonight would primarily contain some hail or a damaging wind threat; however, this threat appears to be very low.

For updates on the rain and any storms that pop this afternoon or evening, follow us @NashSevereWx on Twitter!

Sunday: Rain Remains Early, Clearing Out By Midday

Strong storms will be long gone by Sunday morning, but some rain may linger during the morning hours. Some areas, between now and Sunday AM, could see around 0.5″ of rainfall. Temperatures on Sunday will be in the low to mid 70s under mostly cloudy skies.

Will the Nashville Chili Fest be dry? We hope so! I would say, “Bring the umbrella to be safe, but you probably won’t have to hold it over your bowl of delicious chili.”

Strong, Possibly Severe Storms By Monday

A slightly more impressive storm system could impact our area Monday afternoon and evening, as energy from the Great Plains swings in our direction. Instability may be a bit higher to our west, and winds will be somewhat more favorable for damaging winds and large hail. The Storm Prediction Center has our counties under only a “Marginal Risk” for severe weather, but this could change over the next couple of days…for either the good or the bad:

The NAM paints a line of strong storms west of here on Monday afternoon (7PM CDT), but weakens them substantially as they approach Davidson/Williamson Counties. Once again, this line could be just a rain maker, if that.

NAM 7PM CDT Monday

Be on the lookout for more rain and storms Wednesday-Thursday — we’ll be watching for any severe weather threats as well.

Categories: Forecast Blogs