3 Things: Monday, Tuesday, & Ladies and Gentlemen The Weekend

Skies clearing today. Looks pretty good.

  1. Monday morning. HRRR has a weak rain band tomorrow (Monday) morning. Inconsequential.

2. Tuesday morning. Cold brief rain if the HRRR is right (model cuts off before arrival):

3. Weekend rain. Timing and “accuracy” iffy at this range. A soaker is best bet. Not sure if Saturday or Sunday or both. May involve thunderstorms but no current severe concerns. Notice those pinks and blues as the system moves away – common false flag for wintry precip. More about this system tomorrow. read more

Rain, Light, Off & On - This Afternoon Into Tonight.

Plan for off and on light showers this afternoon into tonight.

Reasoning. This was the radar as of 2:02 PM:

Rain between Savannah – Hohenwald – Lawrenceburg will get to us later today and tonight according to the HRRR model: read more

Intern Taking Finals, So You Get The OG

The Intern is on Finals Haitus until 12/8 – so like Fortnite, you get the OG for a while –

Most of the morning rain is gone — below is the radar before 10 AM this morning – we may squeeze out a few more showers this afternoon which would be NBD: read more

Drought Improvement, Light Rain Tonight Into Friday AM, Weekend Uncertainty

I’ll start off with good news, and that is that our drought situation has improved. It is not gone, but it has improved.

Davidson has been left with a Moderate Drought, while WillCo. is under a Severe Drought. Better than the Extreme Drought we were dealing with. read more

Light Rain Overnight Thursday, Low Rain Chances Stick Around For The Weekend

A few locations might reach 32° tonight, but other than that, we’ll take a pause on sub-freezing temps for a little while. Strong southerly flow will help our high temps reach the 60’s Thursday – Sunday. read more

Cold + Dryyy, Rain OTW Thursday PM

BNA only got to a high of 43° today, which is the coolest high since March 19th earlier this year. We’ll dip down into the low 20’s again tonight, I bet a few backyards could reach the upper teens. read more

Subfreezing Mornings - Fire Danger & Drought - Rain Late Thu Into Friday - & Our Weekend EduGuess

Subfreezing mornings Tue & Weds – hard freeze both mornings – many of us will be colder than that – coldest temps around sunrise – redboxed below are the 24° and 26° lows – then a warmup rest of the week. read more

Drizzle Moving Out, Cooler + Dry End to November

Some light drizzle still moving thru the area, just enough to be slightly annoying.

Drizzle will be all gone by Monday morning as we wake up to temps below freezing, with wind chills in the low 20s.

This will be a common theme Monday – Wednesday. Thursday high temps finally warm up to the 60s and they’ll stay there as we enter December. read more

Sunday Showers, Dry Rest of November

Nice fall Saturday.

We’ll have some light rain chances Sunday.

HRRR model (above) shows two main chances for light showers, Sunday morning thru lunch, then again Sunday evening.

Rainfall totals look very low. read more

Friday and Saturday are Tops

Today and Tomorrow will be fantastic. Bright sun in the morning. A little cloud cover in the afternoon.

In the satellite image above you can see most of the high clouds have moved out. Temps will rise to nearly 60 both days. Some gusty winds are possible late Friday afternoon and into the evening, but nothing notable expected. read more