Behold below! Another sourced forecast from available model data + NWS-Nashville guidance. Delivered with fear and trembling.
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING (AS IN, TOMORROW)
Snow, brief and inconsequential.
Rain – maybe heavy at times – expected before dawn Tuesday morning.
Disclaimer
Very light showers Tuesday night may become a narrow band of snow early Weds morning.
Temps plummet Weds and Thurs …
A fairly consistent, heavy at times will move into the area this evening – providing us with beneficial rain. No severe/winter weather concerns.
The HRRR (below) conveys what the radar might look like thru Monday AM.
For the first night in a while, we won’t get below freezing. Still chilly though with lows getting into the mid 30s.
Still expecting two rounds of rain, starting on Sunday.
Round One – Sunday Evening thru Monday Morning
Still very cold for Saturday morning, waking up to temps in the low 20s, but temps recover nicely – getting around 50° for the afternoon.
The warming trend will continue into early next week, but rain chances are introduced as well.
Temperatures will likely bottom out in the 14° – 17° range overnight into the early morning hours of Friday. Bundle up for the bus stop, AM commute – frostbite can set in quickly.
Highs on Friday not too kind either, only getting into the mid 30s.
Winds, gusty at times, from the SW have gotten slightly milder temps in today as we reached the mid to upper 50s today.
Unfortunately, this mild air will soon be ushered away as a cold front pushes thru tonight and bring artic air into the area.
It was a half Blerg today, clouds finally cleared out this afternoon – but temps remained cold, hardly making it above freezing.
Wednesday will be slightly “warmer” with highs in the low to mid 50s. We could see a few sprinkles (liquid) Wednesday evening that make you turn on the windshield wipers a couple of times, but nothing more than that.
Although clipper systems can sometimes overperform, expectations are low with this one.
Up to 0.1 – 0.2″ (basically a dusting) of snow possible throughout the evening, mostly confined to elevated surfaces/grassy areas. Impacts to roads look unlikely.
“We expect some light accumulations tomorrow afternoon mainly north of I-40 and east of I-24 as an upper trough swings across Middle Tennessee. Despite high pressure building in at the surface, there does appear to be enough moisture and lift aloft to product some light snow with accumulations up to 1/2″ possible.”
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