Spring officially begins at 4:24pm and it will feel like anything but spring today. BNA got down to 16° last night. Are we sure it’s supposed to be spring?
Tonight we’ll freeze again, but not so bad, official low is “only” 31°, although rural places will probably get into the upper 20’s. Last night below freezing for at least the next week. By no means am I calling it the last freeze of the season. Too early to call that. We can reevaluate…later.
One more Hard Freeze tonight into Monday morning, Just a normal freeze Monday night into Tuesday morning.
We finally begin a warming trend starting Tuesday. Rain chances will also return Wednesday.
It’s six days out, but the Storm Prediction Center has outlooked both our counites with a 15% chance of severe weather for Friday.
We’ve managed to dodged rain the past couple days thanks to dry air aloft. We’ll stay dry until Saturday evening when rain chances creep back in.
The HRRR model above only goes out as far as the loop shows, but showers are expected to continue through Sunday afternoon. Just some rain, not concerned about severe weather or flooding. We should stay dry Sunday night – Wednesday.
Really not much to cover here. Temps around average, some rain chances. No severe weather. Boring weather is good weather though?
I do not fault you if you look like this reading the blog.
Anyway, some rain chances come in around lunch, maybe sooner. There’s some pretty dry air sitting above the surface, so it may take a while for the rain to actually make it to the ground. A rain jacket or umbrella, and it’ll not be bothersome. Should clear out for evening plans/SEC tourney goers.
The temperature graph above lacks fun colors, and that’s because we will be lacking fun temperatures for at least the next week (probably longer). We’ll take a break from the 70’s and 60’s, and settle down to cooler temperatures, which, we’ll really be where we ought to be this time of the year. We’ve been getting spoiled with warm temperatures, back to reality.
Today will be nice, lots of sun and highs in the mid 60’s.
Majority of Wednesday will be dry until rain chances creep up in the afternoon and evening. Just some light showers.
Those rain chances will continue Thursday and Friday, looks like a break on Saturday, then picking back up for Sunday.
It’s March, temps have been/are in the 70’s, even pushing 80° today, could it be…an early arrival of Spring??
No.
Veterans will know this happens pretty much every year, around the same time. False Spring. And then a blast of cooler temps likes to come smack you in the face to remind you, that just because it is meteorological spring, does not mean it is astronomical spring.
Today – Tuesday will be great for any and all outdoor activity. You may even break a sweat tomorrow with high temps pushing 80°. No rain.
Wednesday afternoon/evening rain chances increase, and they’ll stick around for the rest of the week. Rainfall totals Wednesday thru Saturday look to be around 1.5″, although that number may (probably will) change as we get closer.
Before we even dive into the severe threat, we seriously need to talk about this High Wind Warning. This is NOT your typical Wind Advisory that knocks your trash can down. This wind will take your trash can and trampoline down the street. Sustained winds of 25-35mph and gusts up to 60(!!)mph will be possible OUTSIDE of the thunderstorms. It can not be raining and the winds can gust to 60mph. These winds will down trees and power lines. It is important to keep your phone charge and make sure new batteries are in your weather radio so you can receive warnings if any are issued later today. Again, these winds will be OUTSIDE of the thunderstorms and it will be this windy before AND after the main line has passed.
Cloudy, but mostly dry during the daytime hours today.
HRRR model, above, shows rain moving in around 7 or 8pm tonight, lasting on and off throughout the night. We aren’t concerned about severe weather with this round. The rain will be brought by a warm front, which will set us up for our severe weather tomorrow.
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