Wattery chances come around this afternoon and evening. HRRR model, below, thinks most of the activity will stay to our east. If this actually happens, we’ll see, these showers/storms tend to do what they please.
Dry day today for humpppp day. Temps not too bad either, with highs reaching the low 80’s.
It’s about that time of the year to break out this chart again. Dewpoints will be hanging around the low 50’s today. Niceeee.
BONUS LUNCHTIME UPDATE BECAUSE NEW INFO
The Storm Prediction Center issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 8 PM for Sumner and Wilson Counties, along with several counties east of there.
In the Watch area,
The next two afternoons and evenings will carry rain chances. Pretty typical for this time of the year.
The HRRR model (above) thinks we dodge most of the activity today. It’s hard to put a lot of confidence in that, but it’s a good sign I suppose. Any storm that does pop up today could contain lightning, heavy rain, gusty winds and some small hail. When thunder roars, go indoors.
Not the ideal start to Moms Day. Mother Nature wanted to be involved and show off her beauty I guess.
Little does she know; we prefer the sunny look. Good news is I think a majority of the day we’ll be getting that.
Some showers currently moving thru, these should be quick and of little consequence. The big blob of scary, rain-out looking rain to our west, the HRRR model (below) expects it to fizzle out and become a distant memory of the past, except maybe some showers. Best chance for some showers would be early-afternoon, if you see any at all.
🎵”Loud thunder, heavy rainnnn”🎵 is what awoke my dog this morning, which means it was also time for me to get up.
There’s a brief break before another round of on/off rain/storms move through. Lightning is possible with this as well. HRRR model (below) does a pretty good job of showing it, timestamp in the upper left. No severe weather concerns.
None of the models picked up on the chance of rain this morning. Nevertheless, some of us are getting rain. A great reminder that models are farrrr away from perfect.
HRRR model shows additional showers/storms popping up around lunch and continuing through the afternoon. No severe weather is expected, but lightning, gusty winds and small hail are possible.
Pretty solid HUMPPPP day (shoutout Lelan). It’ll be quite warm, but should stay dry, until maybe tonight.
HRRR shows a band of showers/storms approaching tonight from the SW. Looks like it will almost completely collapse before it gets here. Maybe just some showers. Might have a cool light show if you look to the southwest though. Maybe you are outside, chatting with a friend, they hit you with the “oh look, heat lightning!” This is when you swoop in, like an eagle, and impress them with your vast knowledge. “Nonono, there is actually no such thing as ‘heat lightning’, it’s just lightning from a storm far away!” They’ll probably respond with “lol ok nerd” but just know deep down inside they are impressed.
Only rain chances to speak about for the next few days will be today.
HRRR model (above) thinks best timeframe for some rain will be 1-4pm. No severe weather expected but cannot rule out some lightning.
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