Today, the Storm Prediction Center outlooked us for severe weather for Monday:
Let’s first review Sunday’s weather.
Overnight/Sunday – Frost Advisory – Wake up 37°, High 71°
Current Official Temp
Watch the cold front’s arrival on last night’s hourly observations:
Saturday – Much Colder, Sunny, Frost Advisory Overnight – High 62°
A west/northwest wind at 14-16 MPH will be blowing, tossing more cold air at us. Winds will die down after the sun goes down. You need a jacket today.
This morning, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued its severe weather outlook through 7 AM Friday:
As you can see, we are included in the “Slight” Risk for severe weather. We’re in this category because the SPC thinks there is a 15% probability of a 58+ mph damaging wind gust within 25 miles of you, illustrated here on this map:
We got this tweet this afternoon:
I’m hoping these dry-weather aided spiderwebs will catch the irritable wasp population we wrote about earlier this week.
Our last measureable (not a “trace”) rain occurred on September 11 (0.02″). For the month, we’ve seen 0.21″, which is 2.84″ less than a normal September. However, we’re still 0.31″ above normal for the year.
Three days ago, the major global weather models (and later, some of the regional models) predicted torrential rain for us today. We were, they said,
Regular readers of this website will notice that between then and now, the models have been taking that system that was “meant” for us, and sending it southeastward. Notice the frustration in the tone of this morning’s NWS forecast discussion, which I quote (Note: the NWS writes in ALL CAPS all the time, don’t read anything into that. Just think of a Meg Ryan [as “us”] / Tom Hanks [as “rain”] movie while reading:)