Frost Tonight; Hail, Severe Weather Concern Monday

Today, the Storm Prediction Center outlooked us for severe weather for Monday:

Storm Prediction Center Oct 4, 2014 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook - Internet Explorer 2014-10-04 19.50.22

Let’s first review Sunday’s weather.

Overnight/SundayFrost Advisory – Wake up 37°, High 71° read more

Fall Weekend; Frost Advisory Early Tomorrow

Current Official Temp

Watch the cold front’s arrival on last night’s hourly observations:

SaturdayMuch Colder, Sunny, Frost Advisory Overnight – High 62°

A west/northwest wind at 14-16 MPH will be blowing, tossing more cold air at us. Winds will die down after the sun goes down. You need a jacket today. read more

Squall Line ETA 1 AM to 4 AM

As I write this at 8:15 PM, a robust squall line stretches from Austin TX to Indianapolis IN, prompting Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Warnings along the way. Again, the below image is from 8:15 PM: read more

A Squall Line That May Try To Wake You Up

The 20z (that is nerd for 3 PM) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) severe weather outlook has been issued!

For the period beginning now and extending through 7 AM Friday, the Storm Prediction Center’s opinion remains basically the same. read more

Squall Line Coming: Rain, Slight Risk of Damaging Winds

The lunchtime Storm Prediction Center (SPC) severe weather outlook has been issued, and through 7 AM Friday, little has changed:

As you can see, we remain included in the “Slight” Risk for severe weather. read more

Slight Risk of Severe Weather Overnight

This morning, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued its severe weather outlook through 7 AM Friday:

Storm Prediction Center Oct 2, 2014 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook - Internet Explorer 2014-10-02 09.02.49

As you can see, we are included in the “Slight” Risk for severe weather. We’re in this category because the SPC thinks there is a 15% probability of a 58+ mph damaging wind gust within 25 miles of you, illustrated here on this map: read more

Rain, Storms Late Thursday, Early Friday

Brief

WED: Upper 80s — 10°+ above normal — Increase in cloud cover — THU: Strong cold front gains strength — Rain, line of strong-severe storms late Thursday night — FRI: Showers and thunderstorms exit by Friday night — WEEKEND: Cooler weekend — NEXT WEEK: Another warmup. read more

Late Afternoon Update on Meh Storm Chances Overnight Thu

Today Coffee & Clear – High 84°

It’s National Coffee Day. Earlier today, The Intern 2.0 said he’d attempt to drink 10 cups.

Results:

taylor swift animated GIF

For the record, this is what happens to me when I drink too much coffee: read more

Boring Weather...Until Thursday/Friday

We got this tweet this afternoon:

Twitter _ Notifications - Internet Explorer 2014-09-28 16.22.52

I’m hoping these dry-weather aided spiderwebs will catch the irritable wasp population we wrote about earlier this week.

Our last measureable (not a “trace”) rain occurred on September 11 (0.02″). For the month, we’ve seen 0.21″, which is 2.84″ less than a normal September. However, we’re still 0.31″ above normal for the year. read more

Very Little Rain Today

Three days ago, the major global weather models (and later, some of the regional models) predicted torrential rain for us today. We were, they said,

Regular readers of this website will notice that between then and now, the models have been taking that system that was “meant” for us, and sending it southeastward. Notice the frustration in the tone of this morning’s NWS forecast discussion, which I quote (Note: the NWS writes in ALL CAPS all the time, don’t read anything into that. Just think of a Meg Ryan [as “us”] / Tom Hanks [as “rain”] movie while reading:) read more