Davidson County is currently (at 6 a.m.) under a Flash Flood Warning and Flood Advisories for Whites Creek at Bordeaux and Dry Creek at Edenwold. Rain will continue to “train” across Davidson County until around 7 a.m. or so.

So, what about tonight? We asked three weather models:

HRRR

According to the HRRR, the rain will return after lunch. Here it is at 1 p.m.:

The rain hangs around for a few hours, then is gone in time for the Titans game, Live On The Green, etc.

The other models do not agree.

RAP

This model keeps a stray shower around for kickoff and the opening act tonight. Here it is at 7 p.m.:

NAM

The NAM also predicts rain at the game/concert tonight, at least at the start:

Our NWS puts the rain chances at 50% to 60% for late afternoon/early evening. More from our NWS:

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AGAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG AT TIMES...PRODUCING GUSTY WIND AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. STRONGER STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING. read more

Tonight – Thunderstorms? – High 79

I have never seen short range weather models this scattered and inconsistent with each other.

David did a 2:03 video about tonight’s weather, concluding it’s OK to go out: screencast.com/t/YaCzUuuLet  read more

Wednesday – Some Strong Storms Possible – High 88

7am 73 . 10am 81 . 1pm 85 . 4pm 87 . 7pm 84 . 10pm 78

Wind damage, localized flooding and frequent lightning are all possible with any developing storms Wednesday. Thunderstorms should begin to fire in the early afternoon hours, and maybe even before that. read more

Tonight – Light Rain Breaking Up – High 84

Dew points are still relatively low, but as rain approaches from the west, it will bring with it higher dew points and higher humidity.

Very light rain may arrive (if it holds together) just in time for the commute home tonight.  The rain should be gone before midnight. Some fog could develop late tonight after the rain. read more

Here is the radar though noon:

This is what the HRRR thinks we will see this afternoon and tonight – a weakening rain shower or two with an ETA around dusk:

The Intern will be by later this afternoon with his usual next-few-days forecast. read more

Tonight – Clear – High 85

The cold front came through this morning, bringing cooler, less humid weather by August standards. It’s hard to believe it’s August 4, and we’ve still yet to see the dog days of summer. read more

Tonight – Cloudy – High 77

We may still see a few showers forming along a frontal boundary in Kentucky. That boundary is coming our way. It’s currently located in IN & IL, where the cloud cover diminishes: read more

Tonight – Mostly Sunny – High 86

This time last year, we set a record of 99. We were not even close to that today. No rain tonight, but we may some early tomorrow morning.

Saturday – Scattered Thunderstorms Possible – High 92 read more

First and Foremost, this post is brought to you by the makers of Mountain Dew, the only reason I’m currently seated upright. I’ve been up since 4 a.m., and my rule (which today seems ridiculous) is No Coffee After 2:30 p.m., so in order to function I reached for a Dew (it’s diet, for those of you concerned about me). This is my first soda in several months, and I’m drinking it fully realizing it’s the diet version of 19.25 teaspoons of sugar: read more

Tonight – Showers Possible – High 81

Yup! The humidity is back… A few more very isolated showers will be moving in this afternoon. May make for a wet commute home.

HRRR model from Wednesday 6 PM – Thursday 3 AM: read more