If you like the heat, lower than seasonal dew points, and lots of sun, then buddy, today is your day.
I have a close friend named Fulton, we love to fish together, although we don’t do it often enough. If there was ever a day to go fishing with a friend of yours, then buddy, today is your day. Here’s a limit of walleye from Minnesota we caught in 2016.
NWS Nashville said in their morning AFD.
This is a true "cold" front for early summer and afternoon high temperatures today will be noticeable cooler as only in the 70s to around 80.
This is a good thing. It’s been super hot lately. This cool change will do us some good. From hot and dust to cool and musty.
For many of you, this is what you’ve been waiting for. Lowes low enough to make you bundle up. NWS Nashville noted a 15° temp drop. Today, highs that let you wear that sweater. Cue the gif…
For the next several days, we’ll gradually warm, but barely over 75°. Lows in the evenings will round up to about 50°. Locally colder lows are possible.
The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK has given us a Slight Risk for Sunday afternoon, but we don’t expect widespread severe weather.
As mentioned above, spc put us in a slight risk for Sunday. The main concerns are flooding, and a non-zero chance of brief Tornados, damaging wind, and small hail. This isn’t some widespread severe weather event, but it has us interested enough to write a special blog to discuss it. So let’s dig in.
10z HRRR Reflectivity Loop
Above, the HRRR model is running through Sunday night. A storm complex riding a cool front comes our way Sunday afternoon. Exact timing is still a little unsteady, but we think it will be Sunday evening for the “main event”.
We know it will bring us lots of rain.
The above graphic is showing a forecasted amount of multiple inches, and that has triggered a flood watch through Monday morning. Creeks, rivers, drainage ditches will remain full and may exceed flood guidance, triggering flood warnings tomorrow night. An isolated 4″ of rain for some us is not out of the question. Flash flooding will be of most concern in areas that receive a lot of rain yesterday. Creek and river levels can be checked here… NashSevereWX Flood Resources
A flood advisory will like remain in effect through 6pm Wednesday.
It’s low. But it’s not zero and the greater threat exists if there isn’t a cloud deck in place tomorrow afternoon. The setup Sunday is going to be influenced by storm fuel (heat + instability).
Here’s what the NWS said in their Saturday afternoon AFD…
Afternoon high temps on Sunday expected to sore into mid 70s south with a good amount of instability and favorable lapses rates for strong to severe convection development, especially if rainfall does not move into this portion of mid state region until late afternoon hours allowing for increased atmospheric instability due to enhanced diurnal heating influences.
