No rest for the weary as we dealt with another round of severe storms today, and have two more chances before we finally get a break.
Rest of the night will be dry, but that won’t last long.
Monday we have been outlooked with a:
Quite the active morning we had. If you have any storm reports, be sure to tweet them at us with #tspotter. We’ll have a quiet and dry rest of our Saturday night.
The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked both of our counties with a:
Nice calm Friday night. Just what the doctor ordered.
The Storm Prediction Center has all of Middle TN outlooked with a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds and/or severe hail within 25 miles.
Our chance for severe weather will likely arrive in the form of a MCS, AKA Mesoscale Convective Systems. For us, these often come down I-24 and tomorrow looks like it’ll follow suit.
Rest of today and Wednesday morning will be calm. Let’s dive into the severe threat.
The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked us with probabilities of “x” within 25 miles tomorrow.
There is also a 15% chance of flash flooding within 25 miles.
Probably a dry rest of the evening, HRRR (below) thinks a few showers could slide in. They’d be quick and no big deal.
Percentage wise, rain chances appear pretty low tomorrow. However, the HRRR disagrees.
Storms thankfully missed us to the south today, leaving us with a dry evening.
We’ve been outlooked with a
Tomorrow will be a conditional threat AKA there are more “ifs” than normal.
The latest HRRR model (above) has the storms forming on top of us Monday morning. Where these storms form will be very important.
Tonight we have been outlooked with a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds within 25 miles.
HRRR has been back and forth about tonight. Earlier runs showed a cluster of storms moving in around 8 or 9. Now, thinks we stay dry.
Not a bad Friday evening. Dewpoints are a bit muggy but temp wise not half bad. We’ll stay dry overnight.
HRRR model (above) thinks rain/storm chances return Saturday AM, lasting thru the afternoonish, conveniently leaving us with a dry Saturday PM. Not worried about severe weather, but a strong storm or two with some gusty winds and lightning cannot be ruled out. When thunder roars, go indoors.
Some rain, at times heavy with lightning moving thru this morning.
HRRR model (above) thinks this will continue for a couple more hours, starting to taper off around noon.
Afternoon and evening looks dry for the most part, maybe a few stray showers but NBD.
Quiet and dry rest of the evening.
Things quickly change tomorrow morning as a cluster of rain/storms moves in.
HRRR model (above) thinks heavy rain, along with the potential for gusty winds moves in just in time for AM rush hour…
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