Really nice late October Saturday. Looks like the rain should hold off all day, so outdoor Halloween activities look to have the green light. Worst case scenario, there’s a quick lil’ shower, doubt it though.
Author: Elan
Low Probability Of Severe Weather Today, Look At Halloween Weekend
Some showers of no consequence moving through this morning, only will help water the grass a little.
🍃Before the main line of storms arrive, it will be windy. We are under a Wind Advisory until 7pm for sustained winds 15-25 mph, with gusts up to 40mph. That could bring down a few tree limbs before the storms arrive. Also, may make it difficult for high-profile vehicles, especially on I-40. Would be a good idea to move Halloween decor inside and make sure trampolines are tied down so they don’t become frisbees.
Severe Storm Potential Tuesday
Nice today with a high temp getting all the way up to 80° (record is 85° set in 2000).
Looking ahead to tomorrow, the Storm Prediction Center has outlooked us for ⚠️severe weather, specifically:
- 5% chance within 25 miles of damaging straight-line winds 💨 and severe hail (1″+)
- 2% chance of a tornado 🌪️ within 25 miles
- higher risk exists to our south and west
Before the storms arrive, tomorrow during the day will be windy and a Wind Advisory may be issued. Tie down Halloween decor, trampolines, light aunts, etc.
Meh Rain Chances For The Weekend, Drought Update + First Freeze?
Today’s Afternoon/Evening Severe Weather Potential
Some light showers this morning – no worries with these.
🕜 General ETA for main line of storms is 4-7 PM –> HRRR model thinks 5-6 PM (This could very easily change, stay connected!)
🕜 NAM3k model thinks storms in front of the line arrive 6-7 PM, while the main line gets here around 10-11 PM. (Majority of models lean toward the HRRR solution, ETA of 4-7PM is more likely, but it is unwise to discount any model).
Wednesday Night Severe Weather Potential
Liquid May Fall From The Sky On Wednesday?
Beginning Of A Spooky Month Brings Not-So-Spooky Weather
October will live up to its name of being the driest month on average, at least for the first half of the month. No rain is expected for at least the next week. Good for fall festivities.
It’ll be a little windy today, and relative humidity will be sorta low, so today may not be the best day for a bonfire.
Poncho Weekend Leads To A Dry Week Ahead
Ongoing showers looks to wane away at some point this afternoon, as shown by the HRRR model below.
HRRR model thinks it is possible that more showers develop this afternoon. Unsure if this will actually happen, but even if it does, they look very scattered in nature, and you may stay dry. Looks as if evening plans are good to go but having rain gear close by for the NSC game or other activities wouldn’t be a horrible idea.