Current Radar

Today – Clearing Out – High 72°

At 5:22 AM, the back edge of the rain was finally clearing out:

Officially, at the airport, we got 0.58″ of rain.

Infrared satellite shows the clouds will be clearing out today, too. read more

Current Radar

This afternoon’s storms announced the arrival of the cold front. Storms were briefly angry:

https://twitter.com/digiears/status/652557938503102468

Winds that were south at 5 MPH at 8:53 AM turned north at 8 MPH by 3:53 PM (by then, 0.43″ of rain fell). The cold front is here. read more

Current Radar

It Got Hot Today

We shot up to at least 86° (the high isn’t “official” yet), so not so Octobery.

Clear tonight.

Thursday – One Last Day of OctoSummer – High: 87°

Few more clouds will work in as Friday’s cold front approaches, but it’ll still get pretty hot. read more

Current Radar

Through Thursday: Woooo Streaking!

Low 80°s, no rain, Monday through Thursday. 

The reason: a ridge is bossing our weather.

Rain Friday?

A surface low pressure system will spin across the Great Lakes, dragging a cold front behind it. This low will be centered waaaay too far north to cause us any strong/severe weather problems. There’s a chance of maybe some thunder, but the main impact will be some rain. read more

Current Radar

The green on the above radar is clutter.

Monday – Thursday: Woooo Streaking!

Low 80°s, no rain, Monday through Thursday. The opposite of last Thursday through Saturday’s frustrating upper level low.

Rain Friday?

A surface low pressure system will spin across the Great Lakes, dragging a cold front behind it. This low will be centered waaaay too far north to cause us any strong/severe weather problems. There’s a chance of maybe some thunder, but the main impact will be some rain. read more

Current Observations and Radar (refresh to update)

So, y’all, this is terribly familiar:

Catastrophic #flooding is impacting much of South Carolina today; up to 25" of rain has fallen since 10/1! #SCFlood pic.twitter.com/Zqd1LwtxEW

— NWS Nashville (@NWSNashville) October 4, 2015 read more

Current Radar

The men and women at NWS-Nashville are forecasting professionals with hundreds of years of experience. Here’s how NWS-Nashville started off the morning forecast discussion:

Today – Clearing Out? Probably – High 76°

The upper level low that made it rain for three days has finally moved east over southern Georgia. read more

Current Observations and Radar (refresh to update)

Saturday – Watching Rain Approach from the East

Refresh your browser to update the radar, above. As you can see, rain is coming Crazy Ivan style, east to west.

The rain reason is the upper level low, which has been sitting to our S/SE since Thursday: read more

Current Observations and Radar (refresh to update)

Tonight – Radar Watching

See above. It appears the heavier/steadier rain will turn to lighter/off-and-on rain tonight.

The HRRR model shows decreasing showers tonight and overnight:

Saturday – Rainout Alert? Not So Fast – High 61°

The last frame of the HRRR (above) shows more rain coming from E Tennessee at 6 AM.  If that trend continues (I’ll update the HRRR model on Twitter @NashSevereWx later tonight), it’ll completely wash away all Saturday outdoor activities. read more

Current Observations and Radar (refresh to update)

Dreary, Overcast, Drizzly Few Days Ahead

Because an area of low pressure way up in the air will become a “closed low.”   That means dreary days ahead.

Thursday night, the closed low emerges! Here’s the GFS model: read more