Tonight’s Storm Update; Weekend Frost; Storms Next Week?

Current Radar 

Tonight – Weakening Line of Storms

A cold front pushing storms our way is expected around midnight. HRRR model:

Same thing, zoomed in:

As the line arrives, it’ll be producing crazy-high wind shear:

read more

Rain Tomorrow Moving East? Maybe.

Current Radar 

Overnight – Monday: Rain Arrives

More rain is coming.

Overnight, the northwest side of an upper-level-low-pressure-made rainer should arrive. Here’s the HRRR’s take:

Whereas this morning we felt like the rain would almost certainly blast us and wash out the entire day, the afternoon model runs have suggested the bulk of the rain may run east of I-65 and give us a shot at playing ball tomorrow night. read more

Good Today. Bad Tomorrow. Worse Wednesday.

Current Radar 

Today – Sunshine – High 64°

Windy though. North windy, therefore, kinda chilly.

Clouds will gather tonight. Ruh-roh.

Monday – Fog. Clouds. Rain – Wake Up 46°, High 56°

The opposite of Sunday.

We will wake up to patchy fog, or rain. NAM4 says: a lot of rain: read more

Nicer Day Sunday; Storms Wednesday Night?

Current Radar 

Tonight – The Clouds File Out, Temps Drop

As dry air arrives, so will cold temperatures. We’ll drop into the 40°s not long after dark, and land somewhere around 41° before dawn Sunday morning.

Sunday – Sunny, Cool – Wake Up 41°, High 61°

Even with the sun out, a north wind up to 10 MPH will have it feeling like fall. read more

Slowly Clearing

Current Radar 

Today – Trying to Clear Out – High 60°

Almost all the rain moved south and east of us overnight. This should continue during the morning.

Clouds should begin breaking up after lunch. That rain currently in southern Arkansas, north Louisiana, and east Texas will be swept south of us and not bother us for the rest of the weekend. The HRRR model animates this well: read more

Update on Friday’s Conditional Storm/Rain Situation

Current Radar 

Before the Storms: Cloudy & Humid

We remain in this pattern of cloudy, unseasonably humid weather. With all this humidity, weather models were picking up on north-moving showers today, but none of that really materialized. read more

Talking About End-of-Workweek Storms

Current Radar 

Fog Midnight – 8 AM

NWS-Nashville has issued a Special Weather Statement out of concern for patchy dense fog from midnight to 8 AM. Low level moisture + light/calm winds + temps and dewpoints close together are to blame. read more

The Week Ahead

Current Radar 

As you can see here via regional radar . . .

. . . rain and storms continue from Texas east to South Carolina.

This storm system will march east, passing south of us tonight and tomorrow. As it does, the rain may nudge north and drip on us. read more

Mild Start To November

Current Radar 

Today – Cloudy & Unseasonably Warm – High 67°

To make rain, the atmosphere needs moisture and lift. Today we have moisture to make clouds, but little lift to produce rain. Rain chances are very low (they’re higher near the TN/AL border), but if we get a little, it will be very light. read more

Clearing Out In Time Tonight?

Current Radar – behold the rain approaching from our SW

Just an abbreviated post tonight. Spending most of our time on the radar and on Twitter.

Tonight

Radar extrapolation & assumption suggests you should wait until 6:30-7 PM to trick or treat. Rain maybe gone then. pic.twitter.com/piCG4qeHsi read more