Current Radar
Tonight – Freeze Warning
Officially, we are forecast to get down to 33° just before sunrise, but several areas, especially in low-lying areas, should dip below freezing.
Cover your veggies, or else they’ll die.
David
Tonight’s Storm Update; Weekend Frost; Storms Next Week?
Current Radar
Tonight – Weakening Line of Storms
A cold front pushing storms our way is expected around midnight. HRRR model:
Same thing, zoomed in:
As the line arrives, it’ll be producing crazy-high wind shear:
Rain Tomorrow Moving East? Maybe.
Current Radar
Overnight – Monday: Rain Arrives
More rain is coming.
Overnight, the northwest side of an upper-level-low-pressure-made rainer should arrive. Here’s the HRRR’s take:
Whereas this morning we felt like the rain would almost certainly blast us and wash out the entire day, the afternoon model runs have suggested the bulk of the rain may run east of I-65 and give us a shot at playing ball tomorrow night.
Good Today. Bad Tomorrow. Worse Wednesday.
Current Radar
Today – Sunshine – High 64°
Windy though. North windy, therefore, kinda chilly.
Clouds will gather tonight. Ruh-roh.
Monday – Fog. Clouds. Rain – Wake Up 46°, High 56°
The opposite of Sunday.
We will wake up to patchy fog, or rain. NAM4 says: a lot of rain:
Nicer Day Sunday; Storms Wednesday Night?
Current Radar
Tonight – The Clouds File Out, Temps Drop
As dry air arrives, so will cold temperatures. We’ll drop into the 40°s not long after dark, and land somewhere around 41° before dawn Sunday morning.
Sunday – Sunny, Cool – Wake Up 41°, High 61°
Even with the sun out, a north wind up to 10 MPH will have it feeling like fall.
Slowly Clearing
Current Radar
Today – Trying to Clear Out – High 60°
Almost all the rain moved south and east of us overnight. This should continue during the morning.
Clouds should begin breaking up after lunch. That rain currently in southern Arkansas, north Louisiana, and east Texas will be swept south of us and not bother us for the rest of the weekend. The HRRR model animates this well:
Update on Friday’s Conditional Storm/Rain Situation
Current Radar
Before the Storms: Cloudy & Humid
We remain in this pattern of cloudy, unseasonably humid weather. With all this humidity, weather models were picking up on north-moving showers today, but none of that really materialized.
Talking About End-of-Workweek Storms
Current Radar
Fog Midnight – 8 AM
NWS-Nashville has issued a Special Weather Statement out of concern for patchy dense fog from midnight to 8 AM. Low level moisture + light/calm winds + temps and dewpoints close together are to blame.
The Week Ahead
Current Radar
As you can see here via regional radar . . .
. . . rain and storms continue from Texas east to South Carolina.
This storm system will march east, passing south of us tonight and tomorrow. As it does, the rain may nudge north and drip on us.
Mild Start To November
Current Radar
Today – Cloudy & Unseasonably Warm – High 67°
To make rain, the atmosphere needs moisture and lift. Today we have moisture to make clouds, but little lift to produce rain. Rain chances are very low (they’re higher near the TN/AL border), but if we get a little, it will be very light.
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