Current Radar
Highs are 56° Friday and 58° Saturday. The Friday AM wake-up temp will only get down to 47°, and only 50° early Saturday AM.
Yeah, we’ll see rain late tonight. Here’s the HRRR’s ETA, around 11 PM or so. Rain will be kinda brief and moderate, that’s all.
Current Radar
Clouds will gather slowly overnight. It’ll be cold Thursday morning, but not as cold as it’s been this week. 31° is the forecast morning low.
Rain is coming Thursday night. This won’t be a lot of rain, just a little — spread out over a long time. The off/on kind.
Current Radar
After 50°s Sunday, just 30°s Monday and Tuesday.
Early Monday morning will be well below freezing (28°), and we won’t reach 40°. We will cloud up and only reach 39°.
24° when we wake up, high 43°.
Current Radar
It’ll get colder Monday. The lowest high temp this winter has been 42°; NWS has us only at 39°. Same for Tuesday, high of 41°.
Each morning will bring lows in the 20°s.
Current Radar
Expected here around/after lunch is this broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms. Map is from 7:38 AM:
Notice most of the severe weather is happening further south. That’s where the higher instability (CAPE) is found:
Current Radar
Today we broke the record high for December 27, 76°, laying down the 75° set in 1982.
Rain should begin sometime late tonight, last into the wee hours of the morning, and continue in full force into the afternoon. Note this is not expected to be a continuous rain, but we’ve seen so much these past several days, we can’t take much more and avoid a flooding event. (This is NOTHING like what we saw in May 2010).
Current Radar
Today’s question is “when the rain will arrive?”
The HRRR model thinks it’ll show up after dark:
If we freeze frame the HRRR model at 2 PM . . .
Current Radar
We set another record high temp today: 75°, breaking the record of 73° set in 1875.
We will remain unseasonably warm Sunday. NWS is forecasting another high of 75°. If that happens, it’ll set another daily record high.
Current Radar
For that reason, the Areal Flood Watch now in effect for Davidson and Williamson Counties will continue. Here’s the official text of the Watch:
As the front comes back north, we should see some rain, but model guidance hasn’t been much/any help to determine when or how much. Not looking for much more rain from this, but we certainly aren’t dry.
Current Radar
Heavy rain is here.
An Areal Flood Watch is now in effect for Davidson and Williamson Counties.Here’s the official text of the Watch:
Flooding potential seems limited by the unexpected arrival of a cold front: