Rain Thursday Night, Almost 60°, Cold Sunday, Maybe Some Snowflakes?

Current Radar 

Rain Thursday Night…and Again Saturday

Clouds will gather slowly overnight. It’ll be cold Thursday morning, but not as cold as it’s been this week. 31° is the forecast morning low.

Rain is coming Thursday night. This won’t be a lot of rain, just a little — spread out over a long time. The off/on kind. read more

Cold Monday. Colder Tuesday.

Current Radar 

Cold Monday

After 50°s Sunday, just 30°s Monday and Tuesday.

Early Monday morning will be well below freezing (28°), and we won’t reach 40°. We will cloud up and only reach 39°.

Colder Tuesday

24° when we wake up, high 43°. read more

Colder Monday & Tuesday; Rain Late Thursday

Current Radar 

Sunny & Chilly Through Tuesday

It’ll get colder Monday. The lowest high temp this winter has been 42°; NWS has us only at 39°. Same for Tuesday, high of 41°.

Each morning will bring lows in the 20°s. read more

What To Know Before Lunchtime Storms Arrive

Current Radar 

Expected here around/after lunch is this broken line of strong to severe thunderstorms. Map is from 7:38 AM:

Notice most of the severe weather is happening further south. That’s where the higher instability (CAPE) is found: read more

Flash Flood Watch; Maybe Severe Weather Tomorrow.

Current Radar 

Today we broke the record high for December 27, 76°, laying down the 75° set in 1982.

Flash Flood Watch

Rain should begin sometime late tonight, last into the wee hours of the morning, and continue in full force into the afternoon. Note this is not expected to be a continuous rain, but we’ve seen so much these past several days, we can’t take much more and avoid a flooding event. (This is NOTHING like what we saw in May 2010). read more

Titans Fans: Pack a Poncho. Rain Too Close.

Current Radar 

Today’s question is “when the rain will arrive?”

The HRRR model thinks it’ll show up after dark:

If we freeze frame the HRRR model at 2 PM . . .

read more

Another Record High Forecast; Titans Game Update

Current Radar 

We set another record high temp today: 75°, breaking the record of 73° set in 1875.

Rest of the Weekend – Still Too Warm, Waiting for More Rain

We will remain unseasonably warm Sunday. NWS is forecasting another high of 75°. If that happens, it’ll set another daily record high. read more

Maybe Some Good News for Titans Fans

Current Radar 

For that reason, the Areal Flood Watch now in effect for Davidson and Williamson Counties will continue. Here’s the official text of the Watch:

As the front comes back north, we should see some rain, but model guidance hasn’t been much/any help to determine when or how much. Not looking for much more rain from this, but we certainly aren’t dry. read more

Merry Christmas! Flood Watch!

Current Radar 

Merry Christmas! – Heavy Rain, Areal Flood Watch, Thunderstorms Also Possible – High 65°

Heavy rain is here.

An Areal Flood Watch is now in effect for Davidson and Williamson Counties.Here’s the official text of the Watch:

Flooding potential seems limited by the unexpected arrival of a cold front: read more

Heavy Christmas Rain, Thunderstorms With Very Low Severe Potential

Current Radar 

Christmas Day – Heavy Rain, Areal Flood Watch Williamson Co., Thunderstorms Also Possible – Early 61° High 65°

Heavy rain is on the way.

Flooding potential remains high in areas in and around the Watch area. Here’s the official text of the Watch:

Rainfall will be heavy. Forecast soundings show all time high precipitable water values for Christmas Day: 1.7″. Think of precipitable water like this. If you stuffed a towel in a giant tube, sent the tube straight up in the air through the atmosphere and let it soak up the moisture, then squeezed it out, you’d get 1.7″ of water. read more