A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 10 PM tonight.

A “watch” means conditions are favorable for the development of severe thunderstorms, which carry 1″ hail and/or 58 mph winds. read more

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Check out the radar:

95% of the rain is missing us tonight. Current runs of the HRRR put a few light showers in various parts of Middle TN after dark, but the chances of it impacting us are slim. If you have outdoor plans, you should be OK. read more

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

In season 6 of the The West Wing, GOP candidate Arnold Vinick (played by Alan Alda), gives a solliloquy to the press.

Reminds me of our forecast, so I edited it: read more

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Rain and storms remain likely late this afternoon and tonight, although it appears this afternoon’s strongest storms will move to our SW (or maybe skimming S and SW Williamson Co). read more

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

This morning has been a washout. Lightning in the Middle TN area was around 55,000 strikes (cloud to cloud, and cloud to ground) most of the morning, but there was very little/no indication of severe weather (defined as 58 mph winds and/or 1″ hail). read more

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

High clouds will stream into Middle Tennessee, announcing the return of humidity and rain/storm chances tomorrow.

This morning I said “rain is not expected Saturday,” and, at the time (9:26 AM), I didn’t expect it. But it appears a weak disturbance is approaching . . . read more

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Did you try to get a look at the SuperMoon last night? Me neither… But here is what it looked like from space.

Today– Rain, Few Thunderstorms Likely – High 88 read more

Measured rainfall from yesterday:

The Haves:

The Have-Nots:

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Overview…[Alert! Technical talk!] Several weak impulses will continue rippling through the diffluent upper air flow the next couple of days, keeping mainly scattered probabilities of precipitation in the forecast until a surface front sweeps across the mid state late Monday night and Tuesday, thereby ushering in a period of dry, cooler weather. read more

Forecast quandaries confronting NWS-Nashville tonight include (1) a meandering weak summertime surface frontal boundary, (2) convective boundaries from previous day’s convection, (3) differential diurnal heating aspects per cloud coverage breaks, and (4) shortwave passages in developing northwesterly flow pattern aloft. read more

Cloud cover is keeping temps from rising into the 90°s. Today’s high is 87°.

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Rain and thunderstorms are expected to arrive this afternoon from West Tennessee, but it appears they are diving to the south of us. read more