Nashville Severe Weather

The chilly rain is leaving tonight. We’ll have a dry and chilly Friday morning, then quickly warm into the mid 60s. Expect a beautiful Spring weekend, with high temps in the mid 70s. read more

Yesterday’s forecast called for about 1.25″ of rain tomorrow. Time to backpedal!  Looks like the rainmaker is going to move further south and way east of us. We still think it’ll rain, just not that much. read more

I coach my daughter’s under-8 soccer team. We practice every Thursday at 5pm. I’ve already canceled practice for this Thursday due to rain (well, that, and we’ve already played a night game this week). read more

@Klappermom is the latest #tSpotter hero. She sent in this linked video, which for whatever reason we can’t embed, so here it is (http://www.mobypicture.com/user/klappermom/view/15059695). Turn up the sound! read more

Expect sun & clouds Tuesday and Wednesday, then the skies open Thursday. The below map from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center dumps less than a half inch on us …

… but during the NWS media conference call this morning, the NWS said they think totals will be closer to an inch. read more

First, there’s a Dense Fog Advisory until Monday at 9am.

THE WEEK AHEAD

No complaints tomorrow – Monday’s high temp is 60, and we look like we are done with the rain.

Unseasonably cool temperatures return Tuesday. Morning wind chills Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the 30s. Tuesday’s high is only 50. Those high temps will slowly warm, but stay stuck in the 50s, through Friday. read more

With a steady, light rain arriving, the next question is: what about the morning?

Our NWS says there’s a “chance” of rain.  I asked three models what they thought. Their opinions:

1.     HRRR says the rain will be gone by 3am: read more

Our two short term weather models (HRRRand RAP) think rain will arrive before dark. The rain is coming from the SW (around Memphis) and will move NE. Don’t bet anything on the timing (models are often off by hours), just know the timing in these models are decent indicators of what’s to come. read more

Saturday

Our NWS forecasts no rain tomorrow morning, a chance of rain between 1pm and 7pm, and after that, yes, it’s going to rain until around 4am Sunday morning, perhaps even longer than that.

A quick look at two models illustrates the rain’s arrival. read more

Yesterday’s weather models suggested rain Easter morning. Today’s models are saying the same thing:

Here’s what the European model looks like for us at 7AM Sunday morning. The rain is pink on this image: read more