Today and Tuesday will be absolutely gorgeous – sun, highs in the mid 60’s. Can’t ask for too much better for this time of the year.
Unfortunately, this lovely weather will only last two days before the rain returns on Wednesday. A cold front will push into our area bringing some rain, maybe a few rumbles of thunder, but no severe weather is expected at this time. Timing is still fuzzy, but it looks likely that the front will arrive sometime Wednesday evening/overnight.
Today, some Sun and some clouds with temps in the upper 50s. Tomorrow and Tuesday more of the same. We should see some fog in low lying areas on any given morning. No big deal.
The GFS (below) shows a 9am Wednesday start time for the rain.
Temps climb to around 50º today. Clouds roll in later but our warm and dry weather remains. We could hit 60º on Sunday and Monday. Pretty sweet for early February.
Tuesday currently looks warm and dry with rain coming in overnight. I don’t buy the timing. Be ready for a return to wet conditions at any point Tuesday. We’ll refine that timing in the next few days.
The weather today is pretty nice if you enjoy a crisp and sunny winter day. A steady wind should mix out any fog or haze in the sky. Temperatures hover in the 30s. Black ice is still possible in areas that haven’t fully dried, although that will become much less common after today.
The groundhog who pretends he knows the future thinks we’ll get six more weeks of winter. Little does he know we just got three straight days of it and we are all tired of it. I’m more of a prairie dog fan myself, they don’t act like they know the weather.
3:30PM UPDATE
NWS Nashville issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Williamson Co. (Davidson Co., you’re not included in this) from 6pm tonight until 9am Thursday. Can’t catch a break here. (at least until Friday)
Just about exactly what we expected to happen last night – happened. BNA and Metro areas stayed above freezing while rural areas with higher elevation saw some freezing rain. Areas that did see freezing rain – melting should occur soon as temperatures eventually get above freezing.
Over the next two days, we are looking at two possible rounds of freezing rain.
Disclaimer: We do not know if school will close, we also do not know if your flight will be delayed or cancelled – my apologies.
Showers are pretty much gone from this morning, maybe a few more tonight. Clouds will hang around all day.
Maybe some showers Monday morning, shouldn’t be too much of a disruption.
Overnight Monday and into the early hours of Tuesday, some more showers move in. Temperatures look to be around 31-32°, however our pal Ned will create a nose of warm air just above the surface, making precipitation fall as rain and potentially freezing on contact with the ground. Precipitation should stop before Tuesday rush hour, but some minor impacts are possible with the freezing rain. HRRR model, below, gives its best guess at what it’ll look like.
Until around 7-8pm tonight, it’ll be a beautiful day. High of 60°, can’t ask for too much better of a late January day. (besides the rain)
HRRR model (above) thinks the rain will move in after dark, looks around 7-8pm. Nothing serious, just rain. No severe weather or winter weather. Rain should move out by lunchtime Sunday.
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