This Just Isn’t Winter – Near Springtime High Temps

We cannot emphasize enough how unusually warm these last several days have been. The trend will continue through Friday before, finally, a cold front sweeps away the unseasonably hot air and replaces it with air ~20 to 30º cooler.

Using the NWS graphical forecast, look at the temperature trend for the next several days:

In 24 hours, a 33º difference in high temperature forecasts…wow.

Windy, Storms Possible Friday, Some Strong

As mentioned, a cold front will send us back to more winter-like temperatures. In order to get to that point, however, we will have to make it through a chance for rain and thunderstorms Friday afternoon. In addition, winds could gust as high as 30 mph during the day on Friday.

The latest thinking from NWS Nashville:

The actual fropa (frontal passage) will occur Friday evening with showers and tstms accompanying the front. With high temps reaching 80 degrees on Friday, there will be plenty of lower level instability. Furthermore, as some upper level energy begins to catch up with the boundary, organized linear omega fields will engage with favorable shear levels. Thus, a round of strong to svr tstms looks possible, mainly for areas east of I-65, during the evening. Damaging winds looks to be the primary threat. read more

Mild Weather Pattern Continues Through Friday

A Look At Our Temperatures to End the Work Week

With highs through Friday expected to be in the 70s, we do have the possibility of breaking a record to finish the week.

The forecast high for Friday is currently 77°. The standing record on February 22nd all the way from 1890 is 77°. So, with our forecast high being so close to the current record, I’d keep an eye on Friday read more

Wet At Times, Clearing Rainbow

We expect the light rain to continue on/off through the evening. By midnight, rain will be winding down and moving east of us.

Minimal Sunshine, Still Very Warm

Wednesday and Thursday will remain warm, despite a good bit of cloud cover. Tonight’s rain should end during the AM hours of Wednesday. A slight chance of showers exists for Thursday, but nothing too significant that would warrant changing your plans. Check out the highs for these two days, both well into the 70s: read more

Warm Temps Hang Around, Minor No-Worry Shower Chances All Week

Potentially Record High Temperatures This Week

Not only will our high temps stay in the 70s throughout the week, we do have a couple days that we could tango with the current record.

Today, we came close to the record of 78° which occurred in 2014, but we ended up a degree short. So no new record for today. read more

Warmruary Is Back, Y’all

All these temps will be close to record highs, running 15° to 20° above the average temp for late February.

Let’s unpack those rain chances from the crap-app posted above.

Rain Chance #1: Tuesday. Maybe a Little. Weather Models Inconsistent.

Models remain inconsistent in predicting this event. One model (the GFS) thinks most of the rain will go south of us. The other model (the Euro) also has most of the rain south of us, but thinks we will get some rain during the day. The NAM3 model is getting into range (it’s posted below, looking at the wee hours of Tuesday morning through lunch), and it too has very little/no rain for us. It’ll be a cloudy day for sure, but for now (check back on this) my gut says only a small amount of rain Tuesday. read more

Some Dry Time This Afternoon

Showers have continued to move off to the east, with some clearing beginning to move in. Rest of the evening looks to be tranquil with clouds continuing to move out.

Sunday Wins the Weekend, No Doubt

Southerly flow will continue pumping in warm air on Sunday. Most areas will soar above 70° during the afternoon! Any reason to get outside will be worth it. read more

Temps Go Up, Up, Up

Over the next several days, our temps will remain steadily in the 60s and 70s for our highs. The only “break” in the 70° trend will come tomorrow when some showers pass through the area and bring clouds with it (more on this later). read more

Returning To Above-Normal Temps

Tomorrow, high temps will be pushing 70°.

Updated Quick Look Forecast

In consequence to warmer weather comes the opportunity for showers on Saturday afternoon. The GFS below indicates a light lunchtime rain that quickly exits to the east by early Sunday morning. read more

Up We Go With Our Temps, Sunny Skies Through Friday

We still have a few lingering clouds this afternoon as shown by the current satellite imagery below.

These clouds will continue to drift to the east, and decrease through the rest of the afternoon into the evening. The rest of the week appears to have plenty of sunshine. read more

Current Radar

Valentine’s Day Rain

Maybe some chocolate can make up for it?

Updated: We have entered a lull in the wet weather. Via the latest HRRR model, rain is expected to continue eventually resume:

A much better coverage of light to moderate rain will work into our area later this evening, continuing overnight. read more