Tonight – Overnight Low 50
Clouds are on the way. South winds will increase ahead of the approaching cold front.
Wednesday – Evening Rain – High 68
7a 52 . 10a 62 . 1p 67 . 4p 65 . 7p 58 . 10p 56
We could see gusts as high as 25 mph.
Mild, Then Rain Wednesday Night
Tonight – Overnight Low 45
Clouds arriving, with passing light rain expected to miss us to the north.
Tuesday – Increasing Clouds Late – High 67
7a 46 . 10a 59 . 1p 66 . 4p 65 . 7p 60 . 10p 57
Mild winds will still be blowing out of the south, ahead of rain expected Wednesday late afternoon/night.
7 Day Forecast: Warming. Mid-Week Rain. (October in Review)
7-Day Forecast
Mon 39/66 . Tue 42/67 . Wed 50/71 . Thu 50/59 . Fri 35/58 . Sat 38/62 . Sun 40/62
(Dry . Rain (0%-30%) . Rain 30%+ . Severe . Snow)
Details
Monday – Warmer, Mostly Sunny – Morning Low 39, Afternoon High 66
A Few Evening Showers. Uneventful Next Several Days
Tonight – Sporadic Light Rain Showers (and maybe hail!) – Overnight Low 39
This disturbance in Missouri and Illinois surprised us today:
It’s so cold aloft, some of the raindrops froze and fell to ground as small hail. This will remain possible tonight as more isolated showers dive southeast into Middle Tennessee (HRRR model Saturday 4 PM – Midnight):
The Weekend: Fall’s Back. Also, Fall Back
Tonight – Chance of Sprinkles – Overnight Low 46
After a spring-like week, fall’s back! Expect a crisp night for area high school football games, with only a very slight chance of an overnight passing sprinkle. Don’t worry. It won’t rain anything out.
Friday Thru Sunday Looks Nice, But Cooler
The severe threat has ended in both Davidson & Williamson Counties. No tornado warnings!
Friday – Clearing Out, Great Alternate Trick-or-Treating Night – High 70
We’ll wake up to wet grass and 56. Expect 66 by lunch, then 70 by mid-afternoon. Low 60s by sundown, 54 by 10 p.m.
Details on the Tornado Watch, Effective Until 1 a.m.
There are two storm lines to our west.
Last Line (above) will speed into western and Middle Tennessee. The two lines may even merge.
The result: “Severe storms look likely this evening in Middle Tennessee with possible tornadoes.”
Trick or Treaters, Go Now! ETA of “Possible” Severe Weather 9 pm – 10 pm
The main blob of rain has moved east of us. It left a “tail” which should squirt us with rain around 7-ish. If you must Trick or Treat, Go Now!
However, our attention is focused on 9 p.m to 10 p.m. (or maybe later), when a new line of storms is predicted by the HRRR to arrive after forming in Arkansas/Missouri, crossing the MS River and trucking through West Tennessee.
The Website Is Back! (“So What? When’s It Going To Storm?”)
We’re Back!
I’ve weathered two crises* this week: the Cardinals losing to the Sox, and, even worse, the website crashing to earth like an innocent pop-up between Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina (love you guys, but you have to own it). (*not actual crises, not even close).
Update on Trick-or-Treat Rain/Storm Chances
Today – Breezy & Warmer – High 61
10a 44 . 1p 57 . 4p 60 . 7p 55 . 10p 50
Here’s how cold we were at 4 a.m. this morning:
Our official low was 29 (at 5 a.m. and 7 a.m.).
We are rapidly warming up. A few clouds will stream in, but no rain.