The 3 p.m. update from the Storm Prediction Center was largely unchanged for us. The probabilities of “x” happening within 25 miles of you today:

• Damaging Winds (58mph+): 30%

• Large Hail (1″+): 15%

• Tornado: 2%:

Afternoon thunderstorms (previously advertised as “Round 1”) haven’t developed as predicted by weather models, likely due to a “cap” up in the atmosphere preventing a large amount of thunderstorm energy from being released. Also limiting afternoon thunderstorms has been some “mixing,” causing drier dewpoints to come on down . . . read more

The lunchtime outlook from the Storm Prediction Center says a mesoscale convective system (“MCS” – a bunch of thunderstorms moving together) “is expected to propagate southeastward into/through the central/southern Appalachians and Tennessee Valley by late evening.”  That’s us! read more

Today we’ll feel high humidity and temps topping out in the low 90s, but the main concern is the possibility of severe weather this afternoon and tonight.

Before I dive into the weather models, remember: weather models are useful tools for guidance. They are not Gospel. They are often off by hours, or “wrong” altogether. read more

This Afternoon & Tonight – Still Might Storm

We’ve already hit 90 today. We may hit 91. Keep in mind all these temps are measured in the shade.

The dew point has remained around a miserable 70. Heat indices should approach 95. read more

Today – High 91; Pop-Up Thunderstorms

Keep the umbrella handy. Pop up thunderstorms are moving all over the place this afternoon, and more storms later can’t be ruled out. Don’t mess with these storms, which are distributing lightning in and around them. read more

Yeah, this was also my experience.

WARNING: Some weather stuff is explained, below. If you don’t care about learning no science and just need your forecast for the next three days, I wholly respect that, here you go: read more

Today – High 88

For the first full day of summer, it hasn’t been so bad regarding temps or humidity.

(Editor’s Note: Humidity levels decreased this morning. Nice morning on the bicycle). read more

First Day Of Summer – High 87

Break out the sunblock, sunglasses, cold refreshments, pool time, beach time, and best of all — summer vacation (if you’re lucky enough to have one)! read more

Today – High 86; Scattered Thunderstorms

There is always a positive side to every situation – the pop up thunderstorm that moved through the area really cooled things off for many of us. Much more pleasant out there if you’re feeling those cooler temps from that thunderstorm. read more

Today

(Editor’s Note: It’s been a while, so I edited in a haiku)

Dew points have been drop

ping throughout the day, Ahhhh a

little less humid.

No thunderstorms developed here this afternoon. Some boiled over in the Memphis area and in southern middle Tennessee. Tonight will be just fine, with lows in the 60s. read more