August 2014 in Review
For the month, we were 0.9 degrees warmer than normal. We were over 90 for 19 days. We got as high as 97 (August 6) and as low as 59 (August 14).
We got 5.47″ of rain, which is 2.3″ more than normal.
Thunderstorms Likely Today
Current Radar
Current Official Temp (taken at :53 every hour)
Today – Afternoon Thunderstorms Likely– High 89
A (shortwave) disturbance is quickly advancing towards Middle Tennessee from the Great Plains. The National Weather Service has its ETA at or just after 1 PM. The HRRR is also putting the showers and thunderstorms in Nashville around noon.
Rain Likely Tuesday Afternoon
Current Official Temp (taken at :53 every hour)
Current Radar
Tuesday
A shortwave will increase our chance for showers and thunderstorms late tonight and early Tuesday. Scattered/numerous afternoon thunderstorms are expected across Middle Tennessee, which will be more likely N of I-40 than S of I-40.
Two Pool GIFs
Labor Day is expected to be rain free. One model (HRRR) predicts a mid-afternoon shower, but don’t let that dissuade you from your outdoor plans.
Enjoy your day off from the US Dept of Defense, or possibly the Chinese People’s Liberation Army.
Rain Winding Down; Flash Flood Watch Until 1 PM
Note: because seconds count in disseminating warning information, no warnings are ever posted to this website. Follow @NashSevereWx on Twitter and other reliable sources of weather information for warning information.
Weekend Rain Details
Water vapor imagery (dark means dry, white means wet) depicts the rainmaker messing up our weekend:
This morning, light rain was working itself into Middle TN from the SW. The heaviest rain will pass to our West, but we should still see a few light showers before noon. Morning activities shouldn’t be ruined. As of 9 AM, I didn’t see any lightning in the approaching morning showers.
Rainy Labor Day Weekend
Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)
Today – A Day of Dry Air – High 95
No rain today. Just heat. The NAM’s Dew Point Map shows the area of drier air over us at 1 PM.
Rain Chances Tonight & The Weekend
Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)
Today – Humid, Chance of Rain Later – High 93
Heat indices will be in the upper 90’s.
There’s a small chance a shower will pop up later this afternoon or early tonight. At 5 PM tonight, the HRRR has a few showers wandering around N of I-40. It’s possible one will stray over us, but it shouldn’t be enough to wash us out (NOTE: we’ve been very wrong about that before):
Weekend Rain
Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)
Today – Under the Dome – High 92
A dome of high pressure will help lift our high temps a few degrees above normal. This surface temp, pressure, and wind map produced by the GFS from 1 PM shows the dome of high pressure and a northeast wind (blue arrows).
Dear Bmack,
Dear @NashSevereWx,
Dear Bmack,
1. This should only be a concern if the weather determines whether either of you will say “I do.” I’m betting that’s not a concern, so even if it rains, you will still accomplish the mission of the wedding.