Current Radar
Theme: we think the worst of all this will be
But, it’s all coming so close to us that we need to:
The storm system we described earlier today as the “first big hairy line of thunderstorms” continues to move SE on a path to miss us completely:
Current Radar
The weather today and tomorrow will defined by the heat and the storms. So, we’ll dispense with the usual format accordingly.
Afternoon heat index values will range between 100° to 105°.
Current Radar
The heat index will soar past 100° Monday afternoon.
If you must wear denim, choose jorts.
The Storm Prediction Center expects severe thunderstorms to be ongoing tomorrow night to our north (this bad news for the Home Run Derby in Cincinnati).
Current Radar
A short wave will produce showers and thunderstorms for northern parts of Illinois into eastern Tennessee today.
The bulk of the rain is expected to stay east of I-65 today with heavy rainfall, damaging wings, and hail as the main threats. We remain drawn on the edge of the biggest risk area, but this area is often revised by the Storm Prediction Center through day, so it may shift (hopefully away from us).
Current Radar
HRRR was wrong today; afternoon rain/storms didn’t form here (they were southeast of us).
Summer makes liars of weather models.
When the sun sets, any rain chance will set with it.
Current Radar
It’s hot, it’s humid, so much so, everyone unfavorite game of thunderstorm uncertainty is being played. When, where, how bad? Yeah, we don’t know. It’s like guessing where exactly in an about-to-boil big pot the first water bubble will surface.
Current Radar
Storms are approaching the TN/KY border to our north. Check-in on Twitter for updates.
Both the HRRR and NAM4 models have a chance for rain this evening:
Both models are picking up on a frontal boundary sagging south into northern Tennessee. If the boundary can hold together, a few showers and maybe a scattered storm are possible, especially earlier in the evening while the sun is still up.
Current Radar
Things should be dry for your evening plans!
It’ll be warm, though. Overnight lows will be in the low 70°s.
Slim rain chances will follow us into tomorrow, as well:
The NAM4 model isn’t picking up on much of anything, but its not impossible that we could see a scattered shower throughout the day.
Current Radar
Conditions will be warm this evening thanks to the sunshine we’ll get throughout the day.
But, the rain will continue to stay away:
It’s not out of the question that we’ll catch a shower or storm overnight, though chances aren’t overly impressive:
Current Radar
Thunderstorms (1 severe at this time) are in the area as of 6:15 PM. Please check-in with us on Twitter @NashSevereWx for updates!
Showers and storms will continue into the evening hours:
You must be logged in to post a comment.