Tonight – Looks Pretty Good
We think the rain should stay east of us tonight, but we are not completely ruling it out.
HRRR supports the Looks Pretty Good Tonight thinking:
Sunday 84° Another Day of Scattered Showers/Thunderstorms
Rain chances remain higher Sunday vs. today. An arriving upper level low pressure feature + a shortwave from the Mississippi Valley = a pretty decent chance of at least a little rain, maybe more. We’re hoping most of the rain will stay east of us. Rain is most likely between lunch and dinner.
Ordinarily, I’d toss a few models up here, but the pattern is variable and the showers so scattered, the models aren’t helpful.
This seems more appropriate:
After Monday, we should dry out a little.
What About Erika?
Erika’s forecast track is now west of Florida, taking it into the Gulf of Mexico. Right now, she has dissipated, but we’ll still watch her.
The current official forecast track from the National Hurricane Center:
The GFS model brings Erika our way near the end of next week/weekend, which means rain.
The Euro model takes it WAY east, not bothering us at all.
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.
Categories: Forecast Blogs