Windy Tonight. More Rain Monday Night.

Current Radar

Wind Advisory Until Sunday at Midnight

South winds are hollering. Sustained winds 15-25 MPH, gusting to 35 MPH. Isolated areas may see gusts to 40 MPH.

More Rain Monday (Early 55° High 73°)

We’ll be dry in the morning, watching a surface front stretched north of the Ohio River. read more

Rainy & Windy Sunday. Heavy Rainy/Stormy Monday Night.

Current Radar

Why’d It Have To Rain Today?

Because Spring.

The HRRR model thinks this will be a light rain, morning event.

Notice rain is possible later tonight, but the HRRR model thinks most of that will escape north of us.

Another Windy Day

South winds will increase late Sunday morning, and remain strong into the evening. Gusts around 30 MPH, maybe even higher, will be present much of Sunday afternoon. read more

Dry Today. Not Dry This Week.

Current Radar

Monday – Clouding Up, Slight Shower Chance – Early 48° High 73°

We start off nice, but a cold front will bring cloud cover and a slight chance of showers after noon. The rain chance looks very low. The GFS model shows no rain. The pro-rain NAM4 model, below, shows very little: read more

Nice Weekend Alert!

Current Radar

Well, That Was Close

Too much cloud cover this morning, insufficient dew points, and unidirectional wind profiles are among the reasons we didn’t gett tornadic storms today. They were very close. That storm to our SW, then S, was rotating pretty well (it may have dropped a tornado, NWS will confirm later), although it did lose its oomph when it got closer to I-65. read more

New Mesoscale Discussion - Watch Possible Soon

Current Radar

Now: Strong/Severe Storms Approaching – As of 3PM 75°

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a “mesoscale discussion” that borders Davidson and Williamson Counties. Here’s a snippet:

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In short, our area will likely be placed under some sort of severe weather watch very soon. Winds are close, but not quite where they need to be for a robust tornado threat. However, surface heating and dewpoints continue to rise. read more

Threat Reduced, But Still There. Hail, Winds Biggest Threat Later.

Current Radar

Today: PM Severe Weather Possible – High 74°

We’ve been covered by clouds this morning, which has prevented storm-making destabilization.

The winds, while strong, are largely unidirectional, which does not support large, tilted updrafts necessary for terrible weather. read more

Thursday’s Severe Weather Threat Growing, Closer

Current Radar

Updates reflecting new information from this afternoon are written below in blue.

Today: Clouds Rolling In, Windy – High 75°

We’ve already begun to see the clouds moving into our area ahead of the storms we will be seeing tonight into tomorrow. Even with the clouds, temps are expected to climb very quickly into the 70°s. read more

Rain, Maybe Storms, Tonight....Then Cool & Dry

Current Radar

Rain, Maybe Storms, Tonight

A few hailers in W Tennessee were ongoing late this afternoon, streaking NNE into Kentucky, where a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is currently in effect.

Although we are excluded from the Watch, some discrete storm cells were sitting to our SW, and should move into our area tonight in advance of an approaching cold front. read more

Rain, Storm Chances Increase Through the Day

Current Radar

I hope you are at a place where Easter is really happy, and not some weird holiday that doesn’t quite make total sense or seem relevant to you.

Temps are expected to soar to 76° despite the clouds. A steady, warm, south breeze is ongoing, and will continue until a cold front sweeps it away tonight. read more

Special Easter Day Forecast ... When, What

Current Radar

Easter Morning

There are two models on opposite ends of the spectrum.

  • The NAM4 model thinks it’ll be raining by 10 AM.

Our NWS believes this is too wet, and we agree.

  • The second model is the GFS. It has very little/no rain in the morning.

Our NWS believes this is a little too dry.

Considering both models, our NWS is going with 20% to 30% chance of rain in the morning. That’s to account for the possibility the NAM4 is correct. read more