Wet Monday, Wet/Stormy Tuesday, Strong/Severe Storms Possible Wednesday

Rainy Monday

Light rain will arrive while we sleep, and continue through the morning commute. The HRRR model thinks this rain will last through mid-morning:

Other models, particularly the NAM3 model, think the rain could linger off and on into Monday afternoon. read more

Nice Today, Rain Monday & Tuesday. All Eyes on Severe Weather Wednesday.

Growing Concerns About Storms Wednesday

But first, let’s talk today thru Tuesday.

Sunday

Sun this morning will turn into clouds later today and tonight. The HRRR model shows light rain approaching by midnight.

Expect light rain while we sleep tonight. read more

Warmruary Returns This Week With Three Unexciting Rain Chances

Warmruary Is Back, Y’all

All these temps will be close to record highs, running 15° to 20° above the average temp for late February.

Let’s unpack those rain chances from the crap-app posted above.

Rain Chance #1: Tuesday. Maybe a Little. Weather Models Inconsistent.

Models remain inconsistent in predicting this event. One model (the GFS) thinks most of the rain will go south of us. The other model (the Euro) also has most of the rain south of us, but thinks we will get some rain during the day. The NAM3 model is getting into range (it’s posted below, looking at the wee hours of Tuesday morning through lunch), and it too has very little/no rain for us. It’ll be a cloudy day for sure, but for now (check back on this) my gut says only a small amount of rain Tuesday. read more

Much Colder Tomorrow Morning! Rest of February: Not So Much.

It’ll be 34° Monday Morning!

North winds and clearing skies = big time cool down.

30°s Mornings & 50°s Afternoons Thru Thursday

A boring weather pattern will be (yawn) interrupted by some rain late Tuesday night.

No severe weather or other shenanigans expected.

Next Weekend: More 60°s!

No rain is expected; but remember, next weekend is too far away to make any promises. read more

Cold Front Today (& What’s Happening to Winter 2017?)

CURRENT RADAR

A Cold Front Arrives Today

Upper 60°s, clouds, humidity, and a small chance of a light sprinkle will linger this morning. All this will end this afternoon thanks to a cold front. You’ll know when the cold front is here when rain picks up and/or the wind starts blowing steady and chilly from the north. After that happens, the rain chance is over. We don’t expect rain after lunch. read more

Severe Weather Possible Tomorrow (VLOG)

Current Radar

Severe Weather Possible Tuesday

Because the website has been unstable, I made the below video blog to cover tomorrow’s severe weather potential. Sorry it’s so long.

read more

Severe Weather (Kinda) Possible Tuesday

Severe Weather Possible Tuesday Morning (Kinda)

Rainy & Cloudy Monday: 40°/63°

The HRRR model’s simulated radar thinks light rain will be close to us around lunchtime.

This will be off/on rain, and really not very much of it. Expect less than 0.10″; rainouts appear unlikely. read more

Severe Weather Possible Tuesday

Severe Weather Possible Tuesday

Cloudy & 60° Sunday

It’s cloudy and warmer today because winds are blowing in from the south, carrying moisture and warm temps with it. read more

What Didn’t Stick Today May Freeze After Midnight

It Didn’t Stick

Evaporative cooling lowered freezing temps enough by late this morning to change the rain/mix into big, wet flakes. Unless you were at elevation, it fell and melted. Temps have been well above freezing all day. read more

It’s Just Rain

It’s Just Rain

Rain is moving through this morning. Some radars are coloring it as snow; others as rain. We aren’t worried about it.

Overnight, temperatures never really approached freezing, staying mostly in the upper 30°s. Here’s what they were just before 6:30 AM: read more