Memorial Day looks much better with highs in the mid 80s, dry conditions, and plentiful sunshine. Small storm chances exist Tuesday and Wednesday, with a better chance for thunderstorms Friday into next weekend as a front stalls out nearby.
…but the threat for Davidson/Williamson Counties is dwindling quickly. Technically, we are under a severe thunderstorm watch until midnight; however, *a majority* of storms are expected to stay from Williamson county and points south. Regardless, rain and thunderstorms will make for some noisy zzz’s. We’ll keep an eye on any rogue storms that go severe on Twitter @NashSevereWx. If you have damage reports, send a tweet using #tSpotter with the typical “what, where, when” format.
Probabilities (high wind threat)
Note: “PDS” is a tag used to indicate a very high threat for certain criteria, in this case damaging winds.
Stay tuned to @NashSevereWx on Twitter and multiple media outlets as thunderstorms impact our area. Use #tSpotter on Twitter to send in your storm photos/reports, only if you are able to do so safely!
Probabilities
Stay tuned to @NashSevereWx on Twitter and multiple media outlets as thunderstorms impact our area. Use #tSpotter on Twitter to send in your storm photos/reports, only if you can do so safely!
Showers and thunderstorms are currently (as of 8:50AM) moving eastward towards Davidson/Williamson Counties. A couple of these could spark up, but right now they are not expected to be severe. We’ll monitor them, just in case.
Dry weather and warmer temperatures are expected Friday as a small ridge of relatively higher pressure traverses middle Tennessee. In fact, a ten degree jump or so in afternoon temps is anticipated, with highs in the middle 80s under mostly sunny skies! It could still be a bit breezy with wind gusts up to 20 mph, but this time it’s out of the south-southwest. Hakuna matata…at least for Friday. Things start to change on Saturday.
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
An eventful next couple of weeks of hockey are lining up, so hopefully weather cooperates for Plaza festivities and other outdoor gatherings. Go Preds!
Updated HRRR Model
Scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder will remain possible through Sunday afternoon. The severe weather threat will be next to nothing.
Our pattern will be to trend cooler through the week, especially towards next weekend. Uncertainty exists about a potential rain/storm maker on Wednesday.
Probabilities of Severe Threats
To report severe weather, use the hashtag #tSpotter to send your photos/information to NashSevereWx and the National Weather Service.
Let’s see what the latest GFS has to show for more storms into the weekend:
NWS Nashville is in close agreement with this scenario, which means afternoon thunderstorms are possible every day through Saturday. By Sunday, an approaching cold front will significantly increase rain and storm opportunities. Most of us could see 0.5″ of total rain, with higher amounts around 1.25″+ definitely possible.
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