Low-End Threat for Damaging Straight-Line Winds Friday and Saturday

Most models think a cluster(s) of showers/storms will be moving thru around rush hour Friday AM. The HRRR model thinks it’ll look something like:

Models are in fairly good agreement that these should be below severe limits. Although heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds will still be possible, just not really concerned about this – forecast could change. read more

Rain, Storms Friday (two rounds?) & Saturday, Severe Concerns Low (for now)

Friday morning rush hour may be rainy, maybe even heavy-rainy. HRRR model:

  • Previous model runs suggested lightning and maybe a few strong cells. But recent runs show this morning wave weakening on approach. HRRR forecast sounding above shows a big drop in storm fuel as this line arrives.
  • Not concerned by this round.
  • This forecast may change.

Another storm round is possible later in the day Friday. I’ll update the HRRR model tonight with more data, but from what we see in the data now: read more