Thunderstorms and heavy downpours in model data, ETA 5-6 PM, plus or minus a few hours. You’ll want to be inside then.

Rain passing thru bt 4:30 PM and 7 PM. Very little snow 9-10 PM tonight. Few/No travel impacts. Bridges, Overpasses, High Elevation Areas may be slick.

Wind chills below freezing from around 9 PM tonight through late morning Sunday. read more

New HRRR model run, Friday timing. Estimates only. May change:

• Rain arriving bt 4 PM – 7 PM
• Rain to Sleet to Snow bt 9 PM – Midnight

Most snow to melt on impact. Little to no accumulation.

Bridges, Overpasses, and Areas at Higher Elevation may be slick late Friday night thru Sat AM. Expecting below freezing temps late Friday night until about 9 AM Sat. Bridges and overpasses are the exception because they cool down way faster than earth. read more

We’re still droughty, just less droughty. Takes time to catch up from our big rain deficit.

For many of us the wind is picking up and the change over to some kind of freezing precip is occurring. Temps dropping. Careful on bridges and overpasses tonight.

Radar suggests a wintry mix is falling along and W of 65. Likely sleet mixed in with the rain. 7:21 pm

Rain and Snow(ish) moving in. Currently 45°. Not much hope for sticking south of I 40. Radar as of 702pm.

Very little/no snow expected locally tonight.

Deets: Notice the surface low (the red L below) that’s now just passed to our south. It’s racing to Knoxville then Carolina mtns.

This means:

1. Temps are about to drop fast.
2. But precip will pull east and away from us quick.
3. The 700 MB chart shows the base of the trough getting here late, delaying local rain/snow transition.
4. While flakes may fly, surface temps should be too warm for accumulation.

High elevations may get dusted. 99% of us nah. read more

Off/On downpours. Storm center remains south. Some lightning there. Radar below at 305 PM.

Precip will continue tonight. Mix of rain/snow. Few/No impacts locally. Higher elevations may see a dusting — those up a big hill, Fairview, SE Will Co, and other high spots. HRRR model thinks rain/snow gone by midnight. read more

Heavy rain, lightning, approaching. Low probability of strong winds and small hail. No tornado.