Approaching storm line healthy. Producing frequent lightning. Even rotating at mid levels. Expect here heavy rain, lightning, gusty winds, maybe small hail 5-6 PM, give or take an hour or so.
Brace yourself for a drastic temp change. 60°s this afternoon. 30°s before midnight with subfreezing wind chills lasting until late Sunday AM.
At 3 PM a strong thunderstorm line formed in West TN moving our way. Lightning, small hail, gusty winds, brief heavy downpours. 5-6 PM ETA per HRRR model. Very cold air behind it, bundle up if going out.
Thunderstorms and heavy downpours in model data, ETA 5-6 PM, plus or minus a few hours. You’ll want to be inside then.
Rain passing thru bt 4:30 PM and 7 PM. Very little snow 9-10 PM tonight. Few/No travel impacts. Bridges, Overpasses, High Elevation Areas may be slick.
Wind chills below freezing from around 9 PM tonight through late morning Sunday.
New HRRR model run, Friday timing. Estimates only. May change:
Most snow to melt on impact. Little to no accumulation.
Bridges, Overpasses, and Areas at Higher Elevation may be slick late Friday night thru Sat AM. Expecting below freezing temps late Friday night until about 9 AM Sat. Bridges and overpasses are the exception because they cool down way faster than earth.
We’re still droughty, just less droughty. Takes time to catch up from our big rain deficit.
For many of us the wind is picking up and the change over to some kind of freezing precip is occurring. Temps dropping. Careful on bridges and overpasses tonight.
Rain and Snow(ish) moving in. Currently 45°. Not much hope for sticking south of I 40. Radar as of 702pm.
Very little/no snow expected locally tonight.
Deets: Notice the surface low (the red L below) that’s now just passed to our south. It’s racing to Knoxville then Carolina mtns.
This means:
High elevations may get dusted. 99% of us nah.
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