Very nice Saturday ahead. Dry + highs in the mid 60s.
While storms are likely Sunday, the severity of said storms are in question.
Timing wise, our main focus is Sunday afternoon and evening.
The main concern would be damaging straight-line winds and hail, but even this threat looks quite low at the moment. The tornado threat looks non-zero, but very, very low.
Another seasonally warm day is on tap for Wednesday – highs getting all the way up into the mid 70s – roughly 15° above average.
Part of the reason for the warm temps will be strong southerly winds, gusting up to 45 mph. This is the reason for our Wind Advisory valid tomorrow (Wednesday) from 10a to 10p. With the winds coming out of the south, travel on W-E oriented roads (such as I-40, 840) may be difficult for high-profile vehicles. Secure any outdoor furniture and bring in trash cans.
We’ll wake up with temps in the upper 30s/low 40s on Tuesday but quickly get up into the mid 70s by the afternoon.
Similar temps for Wednesday, but with chances for some showers/storms as a cold front pushes thru sometime in the afternoon/evening. Before, the rain, wind gusts up to 40 – 45 mph will be possible throughout the day – a Wind Advisory may be needed.
I’ve just been on a conference call hosted by NWS-Nashville for emergency management and media for tonight and tomorrow. I started NSWX in 2010 and can count on one hand the times I’ve heard briefings and seen model data like this. I hope none of it materializes. This is your classic “low probability of a high impact event” x 2.
