Low 60°s today at BNA will actually be mid/upper 60°s under direct sunlight. That’ll change soon.
That was a good week and a half of winter. Spring begins Monday.
Some models have a few showers dripping from afternoon clouds Monday afternoon, but they are few and mostly east of us. You may see a few drops but I doubt we will see a rainout.
According to the HRRR model, around 9 AM Monday, a rain/snow mix will be crossing the Mississippi River near the Missouri bootheel:
This timing matches well with the NAM3 model, which thinks the rain will be here around lunchtime, and last for a few hours:
A return to Daylight Savings Time all year long would unite America.
This satellite image taken at 8:45 AM isn’t showing clouds over Tennessee. That’s the snow on the ground that went south of us last night.
The snow that formed the basis of tonight’s Winter Weather Advisory has already come and gone.
This afternoon, we wrote that the approaching snow band would get here by 6 PM, and be gone by 9 PM. “If this model is off by 30-40 miles, or by a few hours, we could alot more, or alot less, than this, depending on which way it’s off,” we wrote.
Last night, we wrote that the HRRR model predicted a “rain/snow mix” that was to end around 8 AM (this will turn out to be off by 2 hours, and off because it was all snow, no rain). The NAM3 model predicted precip will hold off until mid morning (it had the timing a bit better, but was way off on the precip type). Several models did not have this AM snow at all.
Storms will form a long line on radar, called a squall line, which will quickly speed through Wednesday morning. They should be packing quite the punch:
The probability of any of these happening withing 25 miles of you is 30%.
