Our active Spring continues. Another storm system is on the way.
Rain is possible in the morning, as what’s left from the severe weather system in Oklahoma moves east. However, it looks more like those storms will impact west Tennessee and move into Kentucky. So says the HRRR model, below:
Most of the rain has gone east. The HRRR model, below, thinks a few new showers will develop and give us a chance of a passing shower or two today:
Here it is, zoomed in:
If you aren’t already rained out from rain yesterday and overnight, you should be good to go for outdoor stuff. The Nashville Chili Fest is a “Go,” if risk averse, have an umbrella nearby, but you may not need it.
There are clouds way overhead today. Notice the other clouds, the lower ones, moving north. They’re being blown by strong south winds.
We’ve already had a gust to 31 MPH at BNA.
These winds are expected to carry over through the night into tomorrow.
That was a good week and a half of winter. Spring begins Monday.
South winds will move high temps into the mid 70°s.
We’ve taken the chance of rain out of the forecast for Monday afternoon, although expect clouds and don’t be shocked if you see a sprinkle.
Low 60°s today at BNA will actually be mid/upper 60°s under direct sunlight. That’ll change soon.
That was a good week and a half of winter. Spring begins Monday.
Some models have a few showers dripping from afternoon clouds Monday afternoon, but they are few and mostly east of us. You may see a few drops but I doubt we will see a rainout.
According to the HRRR model, around 9 AM Monday, a rain/snow mix will be crossing the Mississippi River near the Missouri bootheel:
This timing matches well with the NAM3 model, which thinks the rain will be here around lunchtime, and last for a few hours:
A return to Daylight Savings Time all year long would unite America.
This satellite image taken at 8:45 AM isn’t showing clouds over Tennessee. That’s the snow on the ground that went south of us last night.
The snow that formed the basis of tonight’s Winter Weather Advisory has already come and gone.
This afternoon, we wrote that the approaching snow band would get here by 6 PM, and be gone by 9 PM. “If this model is off by 30-40 miles, or by a few hours, we could alot more, or alot less, than this, depending on which way it’s off,” we wrote.
We are included in the advisory. NWS expects up to 1″ of slushy snow for us.
The HRRR model agrees:
Let’s slow that down.
By 6 PM, the rain/snow (probably snow) will arrive from the west.
Last night, we wrote that the HRRR model predicted a “rain/snow mix” that was to end around 8 AM (this will turn out to be off by 2 hours, and off because it was all snow, no rain). The NAM3 model predicted precip will hold off until mid morning (it had the timing a bit better, but was way off on the precip type). Several models did not have this AM snow at all.
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