Slowly Warming
That will change this week. Highs will approach 90° each day, Tuesday expect 91°, gonna be hot.
It’ll be a little more humid each day this week. Consult this dewpoint translator for each day this week.
This morning we were talking about a chance of rain Monday.
The NAM3 model thinks it will pass north of us:
The GFS model thinks it’ll pass this close to us Monday night:
I doubt your outdoor activities will be threatened Monday night. Even if there is some rain, it should pretty light.
The heaviest rain is east of us, but there is more on the way tonight and overnight.
Today we were on the east side of a low pressure center. Rain was coming from the south.
Friday, the low will move east of us, and we’ll get rain from the west side of the low (the orange arrows), moving north-to-south.
This afternoon’s severe thunderstorm winds, radar-estimated between 60-70 MPH, took down trees and power lines from Franklin toward BNA and Hermitage.
There was no tornado.
Rain should continue this afternoon — with a break late in the afternoon — then we should see more rain tonight. The HRRR model sure thinks so:
Monday looks fantastic, with a little bit more humidity than we saw today.
NWS-Nashville kicked off the afternoon forecast discussion with:
Models are still not handling the onset of rain for Tuesday`s system very well.
The best thinking is an afternoon ETA, but we may see rain start in the morning, especially north of I-40.