Hot Week Ahead

Slowly Warming

That will change this week. Highs will approach 90° each day, Tuesday expect 91°, gonna be hot.

It’ll be a little more humid each day this week.  Consult this dewpoint translator for each day this week. read more

Rain Looking Less Likely Monday Night, Wet Thu/Fri, Saturday’s Steeplechase Forecast

Chance of a Little Rain Monday Night…But It May Go North of Us

This morning we were talking about a chance of rain Monday.

The NAM3 model thinks it will pass north of us:

The GFS model thinks it’ll pass this close to us Monday night:

I doubt your outdoor activities will be threatened Monday night. Even if there is some rain, it should pretty light. read more

The Week Ahead, Rain Chances, and the First Steeplechase Forecast of the Week

Awesome Sunday

It’s a cold morning as I write this, 42° at 6 AM. Not record-breaking cold, though. The record low for May 7 is 37° set in 1944.

The average high for May 7 is 76°, and we’ll come well under that today, high 70°. read more

Cold & Wet. Dress Warm. More Rain Tomorrow.

Showers Ending…for Now

The heaviest rain is east of us, but there is more on the way tonight and overnight.

Today we were on the east side of a low pressure center. Rain was coming from the south.

Friday, the low will move east of us, and we’ll get rain from the west side of the low (the orange arrows), moving north-to-south. read more

Tornado Watch Cancelled; More Rain Possible Tonight

Tornado Watch Cancelled

This afternoon’s severe thunderstorm winds, radar-estimated between 60-70 MPH, took down trees and power lines from Franklin toward BNA and Hermitage.

There was no tornado.

Rain should continue this afternoon — with a break late in the afternoon — then we should see more rain tonight. The HRRR model sure thinks so: read more

Lunch Update: Windy! Storm ETA 4 PM or so, Heavy Rain, Lightning, Damaging Winds (& Maybe a Tornado)

Severe Weather Threat Today

What: strong to severe thunderstorms with lightning and heavy rain, containing probabilities for damaging winds, localized flooding, and maybe a tornado.

When: Right now, we think 4 PM, plus or mins an hour or so either way. read more

Very Windy, Severe Weather (Hail, Winds, Tornado) Possible Later Today

Severe Weather Threat Today

What: strong to severe thunderstorms with lightning and heavy rain, containing probabilities for damaging winds, hail, localized flooding, and maybe a tornado.

When: We aren’t exactly sure. Expect it to arrive anywhere from mid/late afternoon into tonight. read more

Rain on the Way

Tonight.

Dry air set up today between us and Clarksville. As I write this, the dewpoint in Nashville is d-r-y in the upper 40°s, but it’s pretty humid in Clarksville and points northwest, where the dewpoint is over 60°: read more

A Difficult Rain Forecast

Good morning, it’s Easter Sunday!

Today’s forecast is difficult. We want to give you the “what, when, where, and how much,” which is do-able when there’s a cold front or something obvious and trackable setting off the rain. read more

Rain Tuesday. Beyond that Looks OK with a lot of Uncertainty

Another Nice Day Tomorrow

Monday looks fantastic, with a little bit more humidity than we saw today.

Rain Tuesday? Yes. When? Not Exactly Sure.

NWS-Nashville kicked off the afternoon forecast discussion with:

Models are still not handling the onset of rain for Tuesday`s system very well.

The best thinking is an afternoon ETA, but we may see rain start in the morning, especially north of I-40. read more